Trends & Data

Buyers Face Heightened Competition in Brooklyn this Summer

According to the Q2 2016 StreetEasy Market Reports, Brooklyn buyers experienced an intensely competitive market in the first half of the summer, facing higher prices and a scarcity of homes selling for under asking price. In comparison, sales inventory in Manhattan increased just slightly over the last year and homes spent eight days longer on the market than those in Brooklyn.

See below for more details about key themes from StreetEasy’s Q2 2016 Market Reports.

Key Market Indicators Point to a More Competitive Brooklyn Market

  • Contrary to Brooklyn, Manhattan sales inventory increased 1.2 percent over the last year.
  • Brooklyn homes sold in a median of 41 days in Q2, eight days faster than homes in Manhattan (49 days).
  • Nearly half of all Brooklyn neighborhoods had a median sale-to-list price ratio of 100 percent or more, meaning sellers in most Brooklyn neighborhoods were able to command their full asking price or more.
  • Brooklyn’s overall median sale-to-list price ratio was 98.4 percent, indicating sellers received just 1.6 percent less than their initial asking price. Manhattan sellers received a median of 98.2 percent of their asking price.
  • Prospect Park and Northwest Brooklyn were the most competitive markets in Q2 with 100 percent sale-to-list price ratios and 34 days and 35 days on market, respectively.
  • Upper Manhattan was the most competitive market in Manhattan, and the only Manhattan submarket with a median sale-to-list price ratio of 100 percent.

 

Slowing Sales Price Growth Continues in Both Boroughs

  • Manhattan’s median resale price experienced its fourth consecutive quarter of slowing annual growth, up 2.8 percent to $995,522.
  • The Upper Manhattan submarket increased the most year-over-year at 7.1 percent, followed by Midtown (4.6 percent), Upper East Side (3 percent) and Upper West Side (1.9 percent).
  • Brooklyn’s median resale price increased 5.9 percent since last year to $561,438. Though still exceeding price growth in Manhattan, this quarter marks Brooklyn’s slowest annual growth since December 2012.
  • East Brooklyn resale prices increased 13.7 percent since last year – the only submarket across both boroughs to see a double-digit price growth.

 

12-Month Outlook

Sales price growth in both boroughs will continue to slow over the next 12 months. Price growth in North Brooklyn is expected to increase the most at 8.6 percent and it is the only submarket in the borough where resale price is forecasted to exceed $1 million. The borough’s median sales price is expected to increase 4.2 percent over the next year. In Manhattan, price growth in the Downtown submarket is predicted to remain flat, with Upper Manhattan and Midtown predicted to have the highest annual growth in the borough at 5.1 and 4.5 percent, respectively. Manhattan’s median resale price is expected to increase 1.9 percent to $1.01 million.

Jihee Kim

Jihee Kim is a data scientist at StreetEasy. She enjoys finding valuable insights from New York City’s housing data, one of the most unique real estate markets in the country, and hopes to turn on the light in real estate data for New Yorkers. Before joining the StreetEasy Research team, Jihee was a data analyst at Open Learning Initiatives (OLI). She received a master's degree in statistics from Carnegie Mellon University and a bachelor's degree in mathematics from Washington University in St. Louis.

  • A.M.

    Hi I have a question about the inventory statistic. The Q2 Elliman report had a much higher inventory increase for Manhattan, over 15%. Can you explain the discrepancy?

    • Jihee Kim

      Hi A.M, it looks like Elliman report uses Elliman listings while StreetEasy report uses all the listings on StreetEasy. Also, the 15.4% increase is quarter-over-quarter (QoQ) change while StreetEasy number indicates year-over-year (YoY) change.

      • A.M.

        Hi Thanks for the response. I believe the Elliman report just uses their branding but is complied by Miller Samuels, so it’s not only Elliman info. Yes the 15.4% is QoQ but they also include 10.9% as YoY. I would like to pass some of this info to my clients but want to make sure I understand.Here’s the report I’m looking at. https://www.elliman.com/pdf/cb39557f7a859fe487d8c58cf4ac46b2901b003f

        • Jihee Kim

          I am not sure where their listings are from but just looking at the sales inventory number they reported for Q2 (6,352) vs. what Streeteasy had (12,135), it looks like they are covering different sets of listings. Also, note that Elliman report covers Condos and Co-ops only while StreetEasy also covers single family homes/townhouses.

  • Dave Lister

    Where can i download the Q2-2016 report? I don’t see the link like Q1. I just see the blog. Let me know if there is a link.

    • Lauren Riefflin

      Hi Dave, We retired the extended PDFs of our reports starting this quarter, so we no longer have a downloadable version – only the blog post.

      Best,
      Lauren

  • Anand Gomes

    Curious whether you are seeing any impact on price trends due to the L-Train shutdown and whether you see that weigh on prices through 2019