Most of the analysts (and UBS and CS in their IR presentations this month) say yes, certain areas will be permanently smaller due mainly to Basel 3 and a lesser extand MIFD2 and EMIR2 (or is it 3 now) and Dodd Frank. Goldman says not. But the sell-side analyst (including Goldmans' bank analysts) pretty much all say in aggregate yes, FICC especially will be smaller.
M&A, private wealth, asst mgt, private banking, maybe a tad bigger. Equities, not so changed.
The big money for the past 10 years has been FICC - for most banks the majority of both revenues and profits.
Most of the analysts (and UBS and CS in their IR presentations this month) say yes, certain areas will be permanently smaller due mainly to Basel 3 and a lesser extand MIFD2 and EMIR2 (or is it 3 now) and Dodd Frank. Goldman says not. But the sell-side analyst (including Goldmans' bank analysts) pretty much all say in aggregate yes, FICC especially will be smaller.
M&A, private wealth, asst mgt, private banking, maybe a tad bigger. Equities, not so changed.
The big money for the past 10 years has been FICC - for most banks the majority of both revenues and profits.
you said shrinkage!