When Will Real Estate Recover Its Losses?
Started by manhattanguy
almost 17 years ago
Posts: 152
Member since: Mar 2008
Discussion about
If no one has already posted this before, check out this map from Moody. The map below suggests 2020 as the year nationwide %u2014 and while on the pessimistic side, that might not be too far off. Note the wide regional disparities. http://www.ritholtz.com/blog/wp-content/uploads/2009/09/moodys-RE.png
Before we spend any time debating a prediction by Moody's, let's take a look at the chain of Moody's prognostications helpfully posted by The_President here:
http://www.streeteasy.com/nyc/talk/discussion/14723-moodys-says-peak-home-prices-wont-return-for-at-least-10-years
According to Moody's forecasts, the market already bottomed several times, so we must be roaring ahead by now. So we have that goin' for us, which is nice.
Losses? What losses?
"the market already bottomed several times,"
The market is a fickle mistress.
Doesn't this involve two projections: how far the losses will go (it ain't over yet is it?)...and,,,when they, when finished, will come back...
http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_djgssszshgM/Sp5dmuLit0I/AAAAAAAABAQ/hEhe3UCcHcw/s1600-h/pricklycity090209.gif