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Bad Market Predictions

Started by LICComment
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 3610
Member since: Dec 2007
Discussion about
They predicted a muni-bond collapse, an %u201Dinflationary nightmare,%u201D double-digit unemployment, BP PLC at $50 a share and 10-year Treasurys with yields at 4%. If you followed their advice you probably have a lighter wallet to show for it. If you accepted their view of the world, you might believe in unicorns and leprechauns. These financial wizards were so wrong, for so long, they deserve... [more]
Response by Riversider
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 13572
Member since: Apr 2009

The problem wiht the inflation and/or disinflation call is tars all price levels with the same brush, oil, food, copper, wages, home prices, and it doesn't work that way, at least not now.

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Response by somewhereelse
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 7435
Member since: Oct 2009

By your exact logic... given that Manhattan RE tanked while tons of folks said it wouldn't... did that mean the pro RE folks also believed in unicorns and leprechauns?

Tons and tons and tons of those....

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Response by LICComment
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 3610
Member since: Dec 2007

You are still believing the fantasy that Manhattan RE "tanked"???

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Response by hol4
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 710
Member since: Nov 2008

people still read marketwatch??

didn't herb greenberg exit after so many bad calls and was *allegedly* traced to insider trading, where he STILL lost money to the point he created this own website where you have to pay to read his bad advice???

plus a site that takes ben stein as a serious economist???

hollywood doesn't even view him as a serious talent.

i thought the dow would be at 4k by now?

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Response by JuiceMan
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 3578
Member since: Aug 2007

"given that Manhattan RE tanked"

Tanked? Where?

How those rents looking right now swe? Going up pretty robustly eh?

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Response by jason10006
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 5257
Member since: Jan 2009

Marketwatch has been part of Dow Jones for a long time now, and before that CBS.

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Response by ericho75
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 1743
Member since: Feb 2009

Or listening to the Bears on this site.
Where's my SUB 500 psf at Long Island City for new developemtns??!?!?!??!?!!

2 years and 8 months and still counting!!!!

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Response by newaccount
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 332
Member since: Jun 2008

There's just a wiser investment decision to make when it comes to the LIC vs Manhattan dabate.

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Response by w67thstreet
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 9003
Member since: Dec 2008

When east 48th are trading sub $500 where will 179th street next to x brx. Expressway trade at ericho?

Now take that answer and move it to the intersection of 59th st bridge, midtown tunnel and northern blvd.

Now go fetch me a cold beer

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Response by somewhereelse
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 7435
Member since: Oct 2009

> You are still believing the fantasy that Manhattan RE "tanked"???

Wow, you really do believe in unicorns...

Declines of 24.8%, 23.3%, 28.8%, 48%, 67%... if that isn't "tanked", tell me what is...
Those numbers are beyond where most of the folks the bulls called bears predicted...

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Response by Post87deflation
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 314
Member since: Jul 2009

2 years and 8 months is not that long. Keep in mind that after the last bubble peaked, NY real estate did not hit bottom until 10 years later . . .

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Response by JuiceMan
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 3578
Member since: Aug 2007

"Declines of 24.8%, 23.3%, 28.8%, 48%, 67%... if that isn't "tanked", tell me what is... "

Problem is, swe continues to list this median data but can't actually find apartments that have sold for this much under peak. Can anyone find 3 bedrooms in Manhattan that have sold for 48% below peak this year?

C'mon swe. This is steve like behavior.....

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Response by huntersburg
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 11329
Member since: Nov 2010

>Wow, you really do believe in unicorns...

Leave the humor for w67thstreet. Color and personality don't really become you. Stick with numbers.

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Response by Brooks2
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 2970
Member since: Aug 2011

does anyone on this thread really believe that Manhattan RE has not tanked and will not continue to do so? really, really ,, come on?

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Response by Riversider
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 13572
Member since: Apr 2009

Not seeing proof of prices tanking or about to.
Prices seem flat and going nowhere.

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Response by falcogold1
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 4159
Member since: Sep 2008

Tanked.....no
Two drinks, ordering a third...
500persqft say's she takes her top off.

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Response by w67thstreet
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 9003
Member since: Dec 2008

Sometime IV straight up grey goose on me. The insanity of the non believers is driving me insane.

I will declare a holy war on your bubble azzz. Riversider.

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Response by Socialist
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 2261
Member since: Feb 2010

For those who say that NYC real estate tanked, I am sure you have examples of apartments selling for substantially less than their peak purchase prices, right?

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Response by Brooks2
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 2970
Member since: Aug 2011

yes and have. see the price choppers thread.

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Response by LICComment
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 3610
Member since: Dec 2007

swe also cherry picks the time periods. JuiceMan is right, these renters can't give real concrete examples of this "tanked" market.

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Response by somewhereelse
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 7435
Member since: Oct 2009

"does anyone on this thread really believe that Manhattan RE has not tanked and will not continue to do so? really, really ,, come on?"

Yes, the unicorn king...

"swe also cherry picks the time periods"

LICC, we did a whole thread on this... you don't actually understand what cherry picking means.

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Response by somewhereelse
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 7435
Member since: Oct 2009

"yes and have. see the price choppers thread."

He thinks that if he refuses to look at it, it doesn't exist....

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Response by somewhereelse
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 7435
Member since: Oct 2009

> How those rents looking right now swe? Going up pretty robustly eh?

Near 90s levels (per the other thread)... thanks for asking!

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Response by JuiceMan
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 3578
Member since: Aug 2007

Happy New Year swe

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Response by LICComment
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 3610
Member since: Dec 2007

Hmm, still no examples of this "tanked" market shown . . .

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Response by Wbottom
almost 14 years ago
Posts: 2142
Member since: May 2010

the moron tag team is back!

surely you recall the price-choppers thread?

see if you can find your way over there, if the fumes of LIC have left a few brain cells functioning

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