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Valuations in Harlem

Started by Pawn_Harvester
over 13 years ago
Posts: 321
Member since: Jan 2009
Discussion about
Anyone familiar with the Harlem townhouse market? Valuations seem like they are getting out of control - Many 17 to 20 foot wide houses selling in the $2.5 million to $3.0 million range. Is this sustainable? Is it the beginning of a larger move up in values?
Response by caonima
over 13 years ago
Posts: 815
Member since: Apr 2010

as long as the 2 criminals obama and bernanke keep printing money and debt and politically stop foreclosure, it is sustainable

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Response by jason10006
over 13 years ago
Posts: 5257
Member since: Jan 2009

The Harlem TH ASKING market is WAY below where it was 5 years ago, when there full buildings asking $5MM(!!!) No joke.

You need to look at actual SALE prices, rather than asking. Its been flat-ish. It will likely pick up, but the school districts limit the appeal for entire buildings for many.

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Response by jason10006
over 13 years ago
Posts: 5257
Member since: Jan 2009

Here are the average sale prices for all uptown Manhattan 1997 to 2012 from M-S. Followed by average PPSF. See what I mean? DOWN from 4-5 years ago. Granted, this includes shells and fully refurbished ones alike, but trust me, there are no fully refurbished ones asking 5MM these days like there were then.

2012 1,181,633
2011 979,859
2010 1,080,501
2009 1,066,133
2008 1,419,208
2007 1,367,124
2006 1,201,129
2005 1,046,604
2004 927,335
2003 613,014
2002 483,027
2001 434,549
2000 502,353
1999 359,458
1998 368,500
1997 331,143

_______________________

2012 340
2011 283
2010 296
2009 271
2008 437
2007 412
2006 355
2005 314
2004 278
2003 201
2002 173
2001 157
2000 176
1999 113
1998 113
1997 12

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Response by greensdale
over 13 years ago
Posts: 3804
Member since: Sep 2012

Plus the crime.

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Response by jason10006
over 13 years ago
Posts: 5257
Member since: Jan 2009

"Plus the crime"

The crime rate is higher in all three Villages, Soho, and Tribeca. Also HK. That's not it. But the perception is certainly a deterrent.

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Response by alanhart
over 13 years ago
Posts: 12397
Member since: Feb 2007

Some people don't mind crime. Some get off on it. So Harlem is no problem.

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Response by greensdale
over 13 years ago
Posts: 3804
Member since: Sep 2012

Real crime not West Village "crime" where someone gets into a fight about their miniature dog while shopping at one of the Marc Jacobs locations.

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Response by jason10006
over 13 years ago
Posts: 5257
Member since: Jan 2009

Nope, "violent crime". You can look at rapes, armed robbery, assaults, murders per capita. This has been done to death in about 50 threads here. With all sorts of links to FBI stats.

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Response by Pawn_Harvester
over 13 years ago
Posts: 321
Member since: Jan 2009

Do you really think 2012 is up 20% from 2011? Feels like more. You could have picked up a TH for 1.5m last year - not I think it's 2.5m.

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Response by Pawn_Harvester
over 13 years ago
Posts: 321
Member since: Jan 2009

I think crime is a non issue. I lived on the upper east - besides the skin color, seems similar...

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Response by MidTownWGeek
over 13 years ago
Posts: 138
Member since: Jan 2011

I live here-- the crime is a non-issue. The neighborhood is great, we love it. Though we are thinking of moving, because the public schools are NOT great.

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Response by greensdale
over 13 years ago
Posts: 3804
Member since: Sep 2012

>This has been done to death in about 50 threads here.

Criminal.

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Response by Pawn_Harvester
over 13 years ago
Posts: 321
Member since: Jan 2009

Midtown: I hear you on schools. what are the alternatives if someone has kids? Are there decent schools you can "test" into or private schools that do not cost $30,000 / year? Or do you just need to move out the the burbs...

Green: Valuations in Q1 2013, which are now much higher than any time in the last 5 years, has been done to death? Please show me 2 additional threads of the 50 you reference that address this.

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Response by jason10006
over 13 years ago
Posts: 5257
Member since: Jan 2009

Pawn, Green was quoting me above on crime.

There are some magnet schools in Harlem and others that have GAT programs you can test into.

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2013/01/13/nyregion/a-racial-gap-in-gifted-programs.html?ref=education

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Response by Pawn_Harvester
over 13 years ago
Posts: 321
Member since: Jan 2009

NYC public schools really suck. Harlem public schools are probably worse than average. We need to reform schools and get some better programs in place.

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Response by Pawn_Harvester
over 13 years ago
Posts: 321
Member since: Jan 2009

It's embarrassing, as CUNY is not the strongest set of schools out there...

I bet the private schools in NYC are at the other end of the spectrum. It's all about focus from the parents (hey, if you are paying $30k-$40k per year, you probably feel stongly about education) and the effectiveness of the school / program.

public schools kids probably do not get either of these...

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Response by greensdale
over 13 years ago
Posts: 3804
Member since: Sep 2012

No one expects that CUNY is educating Andy Grove or Jonas Salk anymore.

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Response by Pawn_Harvester
over 13 years ago
Posts: 321
Member since: Jan 2009

Why not? They have free real estate, gov't funding, tuition money, access to some of the greatest resources in the world...

I noticed that some of the highest ranking schools in NYC are in Harlem. It seems they push hard work and parent involvement, with excellent results. Bravo to them! Why doesn't every school in NYC do this?

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Response by MidTownWGeek
over 13 years ago
Posts: 138
Member since: Jan 2011

There are some great CHARTER schools in Harlem (e.g., Democracy Prep), but you need to win the lottery for a seat. There are many great public schools in NYC, but none in Harlem.

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Response by jason10006
over 13 years ago
Posts: 5257
Member since: Jan 2009

Charter schools are public, moron

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Response by jason10006
over 13 years ago
Posts: 5257
Member since: Jan 2009

There are also normal public schools with GATE programs.

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Response by greensdale
over 13 years ago
Posts: 3804
Member since: Sep 2012

Jason10006, you were always on the other side of the GATE, right?

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Response by columbiacounty
over 13 years ago
Posts: 12708
Member since: Jan 2009

you too, huh?

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Response by greensdale
over 13 years ago
Posts: 3804
Member since: Sep 2012

I was on the other side of the GATE from Jason.

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Response by columbiacounty
over 13 years ago
Posts: 12708
Member since: Jan 2009

of course.

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Response by greensdale
over 13 years ago
Posts: 3804
Member since: Sep 2012

Do you have a gate?

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Response by columbiacounty
over 13 years ago
Posts: 12708
Member since: Jan 2009

are you a complete asshole?

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Response by greensdale
over 13 years ago
Posts: 3804
Member since: Sep 2012

non-responsive

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Response by columbiacounty
over 13 years ago
Posts: 12708
Member since: Jan 2009

can you quote your original manifesto?

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Response by greensdale
over 13 years ago
Posts: 3804
Member since: Sep 2012

non-responsive

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Response by columbiacounty
over 13 years ago
Posts: 12708
Member since: Jan 2009

you don't remember?

you...how remember everything?

you can't remember?

or you don't want to?

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Response by greensdale
over 13 years ago
Posts: 3804
Member since: Sep 2012

4x non-responsive

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