NYT-Meet the New Landlord-- Wall Street Buyers
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A damning editorial board followup to June 3 Dealbook Piece "Behind the Rise in House Prices, Wall Street Buyers": A lot of people were surprised by the upsurge in home sales and prices last year, especially in some of the nation’s most depressed markets. Nationwide sales prices rose 7.3 percent last year, according to one major index, while prices in hard-hit Phoenix surged 23 percent. Other... [more]
A damning editorial board followup to June 3 Dealbook Piece "Behind the Rise in House Prices, Wall Street Buyers": A lot of people were surprised by the upsurge in home sales and prices last year, especially in some of the nation’s most depressed markets. Nationwide sales prices rose 7.3 percent last year, according to one major index, while prices in hard-hit Phoenix surged 23 percent. Other trouble spots, including Las Vegas and Riverside County, Calif., have also had double-digit gains. As it turns out, the surge was not mainly the result of first-time buyers or growing families or job relocators. Rather, as Nathaniel Popper reported in The Times, Wall Street investors — including the Blackstone Group and other private equity firms — have been big buyers in the troubled areas where prices have been rising the fastest. Those gains, in turn, have propelled rising home prices nationwide, in part by reducing supply and in part by fostering a shift in perceptions about the housing market that has drawn some potential home buyers off the sidelines. But is the housing rebound durable? Most of the Wall Street players, who have not traditionally invested in homes, are renting out the properties for now and planning to sell later at a profit. Their presence in the market is not so much confirmation that housing has revived as a bet that the economy will recover enough in the coming years to justify the investment. They could be wrong. In many regions with the biggest housing rebounds, house prices have outstripped the growth of the local economies, suggesting that price gains are not sustainable. Or they could be right, and make a lot of money. But even if their bets pay off, certain distressing trends in the housing market are likely to persist. For starters, homeownership, now at an 18-year low of 65 percent, is likely to stay low by historical standards for a long time. Investors are buying rental properties because the bust has turned many people into renters, including those who lost homes to foreclosure and those who would have bought homes but for job loss and high debt. Given the traditional role of homeownership in building wealth, fostering communities and driving the economy forward, a lower rate of homeownership is a troubling development. The emergence of Wall Street investors also reflects the continued failure of public policy to deal with the housing bust. The decline in homeownership and the loss of home equity could have been stanched if Congress and the Obama administration had aggressively pursued efforts to keep financially troubled borrowers in their homes, including bankruptcy reform and principal reduction loan modifications. But the banks did not want that, because it would have slowed their return to profitability. As a result, a glut of cheap homes and a ready supply of renters are available for Wall Street’s taking. Even now, Wall Street’s involvement will complicate efforts by troubled borrowers to obtain loan modifications. After all, if there are Wall Street buyers for distressed homes, it is bound to be more advantageous for the bank that services the loan to steer homeowners into foreclosures or short sales. The housing bust may be over. But the pain and damage lingers. [less]
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This article is bullshit. Was it sponsored by OWS? Firstly it doesn't mention that the housing prices that were buoyed by these investors allowed thousands of people to sell or unload properties they no longer wanted or could afford AND pay back the bank. Secondly, since when has loan modification become an entitlement? If you're long a $500,000 home in Modesto that's now worth $200,000 and you can't afford the payments on your $30,000 annual salary then you SHOULD be in foreclosure. After that you should enroll in a course at the local community college on basic home finance.
>Was it sponsored by OWS?
No, the New York Times.
uwsbeagle: I agree - the editorial makes several questionable assumptions and assertions. On the other hand, I think the original article is pretty good.
http://dealbook.nytimes.com/2013/06/03/behind-the-rise-in-house-prices-wall-street-buyers
No, not sponsored by OWS but considering long held biases by the New York Times, not surprising either.
Yup, and then they had another article:
"As Home Sales Heat Up Again, Buyers Must Resort to Cold Cash"
http://www.nytimes.com/2013/06/09/us/cash-is-fueling-quick-home-sales.html?hp&_r=0
There's probably an inch of truth in both articles, but regarding Wall Street buyers, renting out single-family homes is extremely labor-intensive and capital-intensive and risky. It makes much more sense simply to buy apartment buildings. So while there's no doubt that there are some institutional buyers in some markets, it is unlikely enough to raise prices significantly.
And the cash buyer story: that's probably also true, in this sense: banks halted foreclosure procedures about a year ago. In California, when they auction foreclosed properties, they are auctioned for all cash. Now they have resumed foreclosures, and so foreclosed properties must be bought with cash.
Same thing with the spike in prices and low inventories - when banks stopped foreclosing, prices rose, inventories fell. Foreclosures have resumed again - and inventories are rising because of it.
I can't speak for the NYC market anymore b/c I don't live there, but here in Sunny Ft. Lauderdale price drops of $100,000 are very common. So are people who buy for $425,000 in March and try to flip in May for $575,000, without much success. There's a listing by me for $1.1 million, the purchase price at the peak of the boom, when identical houses are selling for $675,000. You can ask for any price you want, but the appraisal won't come in.
Most of this I believe to be the natural result of the halt of foreclosures. In lien-theory states like NY and Florida, it will take time for foreclosures to filter though the courts; no one bids on the foreclosures except the principal lien-holder. In title-theory states like California and Arizona, on the other hand, all-cash buyers are the rule for foreclosure sales on the courthouse steps.
It's all due to the halting of foreclosures, which are now coming back on the market. It will take years for the housing market to recover from this mess.
What's really interesting on those courthouse steps in the sand states is that banks are determined to outbid everyone else and become the winner at (relatively) very handsome prices. And then they take their time flipping on the open market, with the newer twist that they throw some fix-up money at it so that it's mortgageable (paint, shingles, a new windowpane or two when cracked) ... probably by the new non-all-cash pissant little investors who see all the latest media coverage and rush to get in -- greedy assholes from the East Coast, and from coastal LA & the Bay area, and Canada.
That is really interesting alan.
It is. It's really interesting. Really it is.