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Luxury4M+ contracts skyrocket first week of feb

Started by steveF
about 9 years ago
Posts: 2319
Member since: Mar 2008
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Response by TeamM
about 9 years ago
Posts: 314
Member since: Jan 2017

Very interesting. I assume no info on the actual prices v. asking prices yet, right? I can imagine lots of reasons for this volume, many of which could cut in different directions.

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Response by steveF
about 9 years ago
Posts: 2319
Member since: Mar 2008

Well yes one can imagine anything but the most likely reason is that demand is strong and there is confidence in future price appreciation.

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Response by TeamM
about 9 years ago
Posts: 314
Member since: Jan 2017

That certainly could be, although I can imagine a variety of other factors too. I do agree that it is more likely than not a positive sign for prices and the market, but some other possibilities:

1) This is a one-off and irrelevant unless sustained over a longer period (i.e., neutral/irrelevant)

2) Lots of price cuts and these Sellers were anxious to move the properties (i.e., tough to say what that would mean for the long-term; not really positive or negative until it occurs over a trend because it could be particular to this small group of transactions, and then it could cut in either direction).

3) Concerns over other investment alternatives driving investors to RE (i.e., mixed impact - could suggest a continued positive impact on pricing)

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Response by Aaron2
about 9 years ago
Posts: 1705
Member since: Mar 2012

"Demand is strong".

And wall streeters, who generally had strong a strong last year got paid their bonuses and are now committing to things they looked at over the late fall / early winter.

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Response by 300_mercer
about 9 years ago
Posts: 10577
Member since: Feb 2007

More than the bonuses, which were ok, it the vesting of stock which is up 20-30 percent in the last few months. I still remain bearish in greater than 2500k per sq ft properties priced above 5mm.

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Response by steveF
about 9 years ago
Posts: 2319
Member since: Mar 2008

Yes excellent point 300_mercer...the correlation between the equity markets and real estate demand is undeniable.

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Response by 30yrs_RE_20_in_REO
about 9 years ago
Posts: 9881
Member since: Mar 2009

The article starts off with "After a lull in January", but I seem to remember a similar article about sales in the first eek of January?

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