Skip Navigation

Just the facts bulls, just the facts.

Started by Rhino86
almost 17 years ago
Posts: 4925
Member since: Sep 2006
Discussion about
To all those who point to green shoots (which may or may not precede a real recovery), you need to understand economy not equal to real estate. Therefore the urgency to buy doesn't come until this cycle's '1997' not its '1992'. "Even if there is a quick end to the recession, the housing market’s poor performance may linger. After the last home price boom, which ended about the time of the 1990-91 recession, home prices did not start moving upward, even incrementally, until 1997." Full article: http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/07/business/economy/07view.html?ref=business
Response by nyc10023
almost 17 years ago
Posts: 7614
Member since: Nov 2008

I can assure you that the median purchase price of a non-doorman 2br co-op (assuming NOT convertible 3) in 2000, UWS, was not 670k.

Ignored comment. Unhide
Response by columbiacounty
almost 17 years ago
Posts: 12708
Member since: Jan 2009

coward v moron. depends on context i would say....

two guys in a bar...coward way, way worse.

a guy and a gal on a date...think moron creates larger potential problem.

on anonymous boards...equally insulting.

Ignored comment. Unhide
Response by nyc10023
almost 17 years ago
Posts: 7614
Member since: Nov 2008

CC: Waste of time, this thread. If LICC was actually around in 2000 and looking on the UWS, he'd be singing a diff. tune.

Ignored comment. Unhide
Response by LICComment
almost 17 years ago
Posts: 3610
Member since: Dec 2007

Miller Samuel's numbers are based on closed transactions. Sorry if facts get in the way of your fantasies.

Ignored comment. Unhide
Response by Rhino86
almost 17 years ago
Posts: 4925
Member since: Sep 2006

What exactly is the fantasy? Your claim is what, that prices were 20x rent in 2000? You are such a delusional piece of shit.

Ignored comment. Unhide
Response by nyc10023
almost 17 years ago
Posts: 7614
Member since: Nov 2008

Rhino, give it up. LICC cannot even address any point that I make in a specific way because there is no rebuttal. He is wrong. Miller Samuel's #s are generalities which, if you didn't know the market for co-ops, condos & rentals on the UWS, would be misleading. BTW, for our first apt, I had Miller Samuel do an independent appraisal and they came in pretty close to the sales price.

Ignored comment. Unhide
Response by BSexposer
almost 17 years ago
Posts: 1009
Member since: Oct 2008

If somebody makes a moronic remark, should they not be labelled a "moron". If they persist in their moronic statement despite clear and convincing proof to the contrary, should they not be labelled a "complete idiot"? Does anybody disagree? Life would be much simpler if morons weren't so obtuse all of the time and just admitted they are wrong.

Ignored comment. Unhide
Response by BSexposer
almost 17 years ago
Posts: 1009
Member since: Oct 2008

JM - it occurred to me, did you not just condemn people for calling LICC nasty names and in the next breath (metaphorically speaking) label all such people "douchebags"?

Ignored comment. Unhide
Response by JuiceMan
almost 17 years ago
Posts: 3578
Member since: Aug 2007

Yes, I have never been very good at practicing what I preach. Plus, I have a real affinity for the term douchebag and try and use it wherever it fits.

Ignored comment. Unhide
Response by patient09
almost 17 years ago
Posts: 1571
Member since: Nov 2008

AR: leaving for a month! Holy bejesus, you gotta be rich to think like that in that in the first place, and you make us think your spouses lawyering is simply win some lose some!

Ignored comment. Unhide
Response by patient09
almost 17 years ago
Posts: 1571
Member since: Nov 2008

so how was that, quoting 2 movies in one poorly constructed sentence

Ignored comment. Unhide
Response by BSexposer
almost 17 years ago
Posts: 1009
Member since: Oct 2008

I just go with "d-bag" - quicker to type. Thanks to Howard Stern for popularizing this term.

Ignored comment. Unhide
Response by 30yrs_RE_20_in_REO
almost 17 years ago
Posts: 9889
Member since: Mar 2009

look at this graph again:
http://www.realestatechannel.com/news-assets/GraphC.jpg

particularly look at years 84 thru 87 vs 99 thru 02.

then, just as we're about to have a somewhat "normal business cycle, next thing you see on the graph is "CMBS issuance explodes", and what happens?

Ignored comment. Unhide
Response by Lecker
almost 17 years ago
Posts: 219
Member since: Feb 2009

BSexposer - I am not very plugged in to the RE jargon - can you point me to a definition of cap rate and GRM for this chart?

http://www.realestatechannel.com/news-assets/GraphC.jpg

Sorry for being dense and thanks in advance

Ignored comment. Unhide
Response by 30yrs_RE_20_in_REO
almost 17 years ago
Posts: 9889
Member since: Mar 2009

"is being called a coward better than being called a moron?"

A coward dies a thousand deaths, a moron doesn't realize he's dead.

Ignored comment. Unhide
Response by aboutready
almost 17 years ago
Posts: 16354
Member since: Oct 2007

p09, very nice. but i'm staying in walk-up youth hostels, clearly, flying as a courier, and consuming bread, cheese and very cheap wine on park benches.

Ignored comment. Unhide
Response by BSexposer
almost 17 years ago
Posts: 1009
Member since: Oct 2008
Ignored comment. Unhide
Response by BSexposer
almost 17 years ago
Posts: 1009
Member since: Oct 2008
Ignored comment. Unhide
Response by Lecker
almost 17 years ago
Posts: 219
Member since: Feb 2009

Thank you for these references - sometimes I feel like reading these boards ought to be worth some kind of 3 credit collegiate class!

(...and then there are other posts where sometimes I wonder what is that guy / gal smokin'?)

Ignored comment. Unhide

Add Your Comment