Market correcting in Miami
Started by Riversider
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 13573
Member since: Apr 2009
Discussion about
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052702304563104576355363685456274.html?mod=WSJ_hp_LEFTTopStories MIAMI—When the real estate market collapsed five years ago, this city's downtown soon became an emblem of the worst excesses of the building boom. Glittering new towers sat mostly vacant. Those towers are filling up much sooner than some analysts predicted. The new arrivals, mostly renters, are spurring the establishment of restaurants, bars and shops. Streets that once grew desolate at the end of the workday now buzz with residents walking around and dining at outdoor tables.
As Calculated risk
This is an example of excess inventory being absorbed. Many of these condos were bought by international buyers and / or investors, and many are now occupied by renters. These are not "accidental landlords" (homeowners who rented their homes because they couldn't sell) - these are cash flow investors. Yes, some investors will sell if prices start to increase, keeping prices from rising quickly, but they can also be patient since many paid cash - so I wouldn't count this as shadow inventory.
http://www.calculatedriskblog.com/2011/05/renters-and-mini-boom-in-miami.html
This can be extrapolated elsewhere.
With interest rates at zero, and more investors paying cash inventory will be absorbed.
Doesn't Miami have several years worth of REO inventory in the pipe line?