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Geranimo!

Started by falcogold1
over 14 years ago
Posts: 4159
Member since: Sep 2008
Discussion about
What?! No parachute?? Today we mark the second leg down in the great real estate bubble defaltion. Pick apart the facts anyway you like. Macro, micro...pick your brand of economic voodoo. It does not take a weather man to tell you the shit just hit the fan......... again. Re bargin hunters: Start Your Engines!
Response by stevejhx
over 14 years ago
Posts: 12656
Member since: Feb 2008

But - YOU CAN'T SPELL!

Geronimo!

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Response by cccharley
over 14 years ago
Posts: 903
Member since: Sep 2008

Not yet - we all know RE lags. Funny how it's following the '87 crash. Took years to really hit the big M. Bring it on.

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Response by sjtmd
over 14 years ago
Posts: 670
Member since: May 2009

But immediately (within weeks) following the Lehman Bros debacle, there was a brief period (month) that it seems quality units sold at bargain prices but very rapidly recovered. Will there be a repeat or perhaps the beginning of a true downturn in Manhattan RE?

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Response by pulaski
over 14 years ago
Posts: 824
Member since: Mar 2009

$500 psf, here we come?

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Response by cccharley
over 14 years ago
Posts: 903
Member since: Sep 2008

Same thing happened downtown after 9/11 but the window was brief. We shall see. Right now I'm happy to be renting.

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Response by beatyerputz
over 14 years ago
Posts: 330
Member since: Aug 2008

garanimal!

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Response by columbiacounty
over 14 years ago
Posts: 12708
Member since: Jan 2009

no fiscal stimulus unless/until things get a whole lot worse.
banks are taking it in the shorts again.
no one is saying dow is back where it was a year ago---their saying we just lost a trillion dollars plus.

obama has soured his base beyond hope.

gas should be cheaper but that always gets less attention then when it goes up.

more state/local municipal layoffs coming.

dow continues to sink---the big question is to what number?

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Response by malthus
over 14 years ago
Posts: 1333
Member since: Feb 2009

"Will there be a repeat or perhaps the beginning of a true downturn in Manhattan RE?"

Between Nov 2008 and March 2009, the Fed pumped $1 trillion into the economy and Obama signed a $787B stimulus package. We know there will be no more stimulus, so the answer depends on whether we see QE3 and whether it is effective.

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Response by beatyerputz
over 14 years ago
Posts: 330
Member since: Aug 2008

The only possible upside for NYC real estate is a collapse of the USD.

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Response by w67thstreet
over 14 years ago
Posts: 9003
Member since: Dec 2008

Hehehehehe. I don't wanna say it again, but I will cause I just had some really nice cakes from harrod's and I got to pet a nice bunny.

$500psf here we come!!!!!! No doubt . Congrats to columbia for selling at the peak. Falco for keeping the faith.

For everyone else, well you had 3 yrs of w67's free advice. Enjoy the ride down.

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Response by stevejhx
over 14 years ago
Posts: 12656
Member since: Feb 2008

Buy now or be priced out forever!

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Response by lucillebluth
over 14 years ago
Posts: 2631
Member since: May 2010

why are you assholes so happy? do you really think it will end at cheaper real estate? wtf

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Response by Riversider
over 14 years ago
Posts: 13572
Member since: Apr 2009

Actually read an interesting allocation model this weekend that stressed rental properties and dividend paying stocks. Rental properties are where it's at. I would buy EQR now if they returned more in the form of dividends.

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Response by PMG
over 14 years ago
Posts: 1322
Member since: Jan 2008

Riversider, what you are saying is you would invest EQR if the price were lower. I'd invest in EQR too if it were 40% cheaper than today's close (a pro forma price that would yield 4.5%). Right now you can get 3.7% from triple AAA stock JNJ. Why shouldn't a REIT yield more?

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Response by columbiacounty
over 14 years ago
Posts: 12708
Member since: Jan 2009

if your grandmother had wheels, she'd be a baby carriage?

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Response by JacksonHole
over 14 years ago
Posts: 113
Member since: Apr 2011

People only care about themselves on this board....who cares if the economy tanks, people lose their jobs, people lose their homes......many of the people on this board PRAY for a crash so they can buy a 1 bedroom apt for 350k...regardless of anything else happening to anyone else...

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Response by huntersburg
over 14 years ago
Posts: 11329
Member since: Nov 2010

columbiacounty, did you find the penis you were seeking yesterday?

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Response by huntersburg
over 14 years ago
Posts: 11329
Member since: Nov 2010

>Re bargin hunters:
>Start Your Engines!

Holy crap, are we supposed to take guidance from someone who spells "Geranimo" and "defaltion".

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Response by huntersburg
over 14 years ago
Posts: 11329
Member since: Nov 2010

>and I got to pet a nice bunny.

Aww, one of those cute photos where an ape is holdiny a bunny. Such warmth

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Response by anonymous777
over 14 years ago
Posts: 17
Member since: Mar 2008

500psf!!!

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Response by switel
over 14 years ago
Posts: 303
Member since: Jan 2007

Jackson you got a good point but don't blame the simple citizen for wanting to be better financially, it's only natural. blame your gvt that gave away hundred of billions of dollars to reckless banks that didn't have any problem to use the bailout money to give away insane bonuses.

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Response by malthus
over 14 years ago
Posts: 1333
Member since: Feb 2009

Looks like no rescue from Uncle Ben today.

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Response by falcogold1
over 14 years ago
Posts: 4159
Member since: Sep 2008

no one cares what uncle Ben says....

nothing sticks together...

property to sell???
Best start NOW!

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Response by malthus
over 14 years ago
Posts: 1333
Member since: Feb 2009

Actually everybody cares what he says. Sad but true.

In any event the window to sell has probably closed for a while. Buyers will be asking for a global uncertainty discount and sellers will be looking at spring comps.

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Response by stevejhx
over 14 years ago
Posts: 12656
Member since: Feb 2008

You know who doesn't care? My cat Rosalind doesn't care. All she ever thinks about is herself.

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Response by truthskr10
over 14 years ago
Posts: 4088
Member since: Jul 2009

“The economy is still producing at levels well below its potential; consequently, accommodative monetary policies are still needed,” Bernanke said today in a speech to a conference in Atlanta. At the same time, the Fed “will take whatever actions are necessary to keep inflation well controlled,” he said.
“Overall, the economic recovery appears to be continuing at a moderate pace, albeit at a rate that is both uneven across sectors and frustratingly slow from the perspective of millions of unemployed and underemployed workers.”
"We will do whatever is necessary to prop up NYC real estate and we will guarantee any difference in home sales prices below $700 per sq ft."

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-06-07/bernanke-says-accommodative-policy-needed-for-uneven-economic-recovery.html

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Response by sjtmd
over 14 years ago
Posts: 670
Member since: May 2009

I am ready to buy - when do we get to see some real "bargains"? If you see them, please post.

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