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More good news for buyers and renters

Started by jason10006
over 16 years ago
Posts: 5257
Member since: Jan 2009
Discussion about
NEW YORK CITY'S FUTURE GHOST TOWERS http://therealdeal.com/newyork/articles/new-york-city-s-future-ghost-towers Bad news for sellers and landlords.
Response by alpine292
over 16 years ago
Posts: 2771
Member since: Jun 2008

You dimwit. This is BAD enws for everyone. If the building is vacant, no bank will lend you the money to buy in it since it is not at least 70% sold.

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Response by ChasingWamus
over 16 years ago
Posts: 309
Member since: Dec 2008

So the owner will convert it to rentals, lowering the price of rent. Good new!

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Response by cccharley
over 16 years ago
Posts: 903
Member since: Sep 2008

No it's good news and will push prices further down to where they should be.

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Response by alpine292
over 16 years ago
Posts: 2771
Member since: Jun 2008

but then that is bad news for buyers since that will reuce the amount of availbale inventory. And besides, a lot of these "ghost" buildigns are not completed so they can't be sold or rented. They will have no impact on the market, other than become neighborhood eyesores.

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Response by alpine292
over 16 years ago
Posts: 2771
Member since: Jun 2008

"No it's good news and will push prices further down to where they should be."

uncompleted buildigns have no impact on prices.

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Response by aboutready
over 16 years ago
Posts: 16354
Member since: Oct 2007

alpine, they will be finished over time. there will be tons of inventory. the failures will aid both renters and buyers.

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Response by stevejhx
over 16 years ago
Posts: 12656
Member since: Feb 2008

JuiceMan said that Manhattan wasn't like Miami, so this story is obviously false.

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Response by alpine292
over 16 years ago
Posts: 2771
Member since: Jun 2008

they will not be finished anytime soon since the devlepers can't get financing to finish. So in the CURRENT market, they will have virtually no impact.

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Response by sledgehammer
over 16 years ago
Posts: 899
Member since: Mar 2009

Dream on Alpine...Factory Lofts and The Metropolitan are complete and ready to move in.

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Response by alpine292
over 16 years ago
Posts: 2771
Member since: Jun 2008

are they 70% sold?

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Response by alpine292
over 16 years ago
Posts: 2771
Member since: Jun 2008

If they are not 70% sold, then it is as if they are uncompleted since nobdoy can move in unless they are buying for cash.

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Response by aboutready
over 16 years ago
Posts: 16354
Member since: Oct 2007

most of them do not show up in the current manhattan market data. and in that data there are TONS of units available for sale that are not in the official inventory. we're fine alpie, this will just be a bit of insurance for those of us who wish to wait. someone will buy these at firesale prices, or do something with them after they've foreclosed. getting 50 cents on the dollar is better than getting nothing. i know, maybe the banks that wind up owning them can provide construction financing to themselves?

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Response by alpine292
over 16 years ago
Posts: 2771
Member since: Jun 2008

many buildiongs are selling their unsold apts. in bulk porfolios, (20 Pine included) but I doubt this benefits the average buyer as they cannot afford to buy 30 + condos.

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Response by jason10006
over 16 years ago
Posts: 5257
Member since: Jan 2009

but bulk purchases benefit buyers (drives down comparable prices per sq ft) and renters (the bulk buyers rent these out.) So you admit I am correct.

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Response by sledgehammer
over 16 years ago
Posts: 899
Member since: Mar 2009

Factory Lofts and The Metropolitan are not 70% closed, both buildings are being foreclosed upon.
Who knows what's gonna happen? Are they gonna hit the Auction room ? At some points Lenders will have to unload one way or another...

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Response by aboutready
over 16 years ago
Posts: 16354
Member since: Oct 2007

it helps them when the sales data show that those 30 condos sold at a certain price. depresses the price of the other sales in the building. slow, alpie, slow.

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Response by alpine292
over 16 years ago
Posts: 2771
Member since: Jun 2008

that's not true. When apts. are sold in bulk for $60 million, that has no impact on comps.

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Response by alpine292
over 16 years ago
Posts: 2771
Member since: Jun 2008

And don't assume that all of the ghost buildings will be completed in your lifetime:

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ryugyong_Hotel

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Response by aboutready
over 16 years ago
Posts: 16354
Member since: Oct 2007

a hotel in north korea? you don't think that's a bit of a reach. and of course it has an impact, although it probably means you'll be able to get a great rental deal in 20 pine because mortgages will be hard to get and people won't be able to sell in a building that is doing bulk sales. cheers.

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Response by alpine292
over 16 years ago
Posts: 2771
Member since: Jun 2008

"and people won't be able to sell in a building that is doing bulk sales."

And how does this benefit buyers? If sellers can't sell, buyers CANNOT buy. DUH!

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Response by aboutready
over 16 years ago
Posts: 16354
Member since: Oct 2007

alpie, read my son. in THAT case it helps the renters. in other cases the buyers are being helped. see, isn't it just B E A Utiful?

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Response by alpine292
over 16 years ago
Posts: 2771
Member since: Jun 2008

the only way ghost buildings will benefit buyers is if the 70% requirement is reduced or eliminated, or if you are a cash buyer.

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Response by jerjadix
over 16 years ago
Posts: 2
Member since: Feb 2009

do we really need to resort to name calling? "dimwit"...

lol. and ryugyong hotel was not completed mainly due to it's poor design...the building is concrete and too heavy...it's listing (i.e. Tower of Pisa) and massively expensive to remedy.

ps- i vote lower prices are good news for buyers and renters

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Response by Trompiloco
over 16 years ago
Posts: 585
Member since: Jul 2008

lower prices are not good for Alpine

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Response by stevejhx
over 16 years ago
Posts: 12656
Member since: Feb 2008

"many buildiongs are selling their unsold apts."

Then no one will qualify for federally guaranteed mortgages, b/c there is a limit on single ownership.

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Response by Topper
over 16 years ago
Posts: 1335
Member since: May 2008

Seems to me the interesting action is taking place in land values - always the most volatile piece of the pricing puzzle.

"There remains a significant disconnect between the bid and the ask, particularly with regards to development sites with land values off 50 to 75 percent from their peak, in many locations," said David Schechtman, a senior director for Eastern Consolidated.

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Response by aboutready
over 16 years ago
Posts: 16354
Member since: Oct 2007

topper that is key going forward. very depressed land values could actually help promote development of rental properties in the future.

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Response by julia
over 16 years ago
Posts: 2841
Member since: Feb 2007

i'm curious what everyone thinks of this....the city and state make a deal with developers to finish their projects and rent them at much lower prices and the developers get large tax breaks...they did it before with stuytown, etc..

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Response by nyc10023
over 16 years ago
Posts: 7614
Member since: Nov 2008

Nah, just take over those sites for new schools.

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Response by lr10021
over 16 years ago
Posts: 175
Member since: May 2007

this story highlights only half the story in Manhattan (I don't leave the island);

it fails to account for plenty of large projects that are seriously undersold, whereby the developer is either going to default or bring those units to the rental market, which will create a whole new wave of product, similar to "unsold shares" that have been haunting nyc buildings for years. For me, that is the real story.

Miraval was mentioned...that is only one.

My guess is that they were playing nice and not mentioning the others.

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Response by Jerkstore
over 16 years ago
Posts: 474
Member since: Feb 2007

Love those section heds: "Buyers disappear"..."Prices plummet".... Why don't they just title the piece: "OOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOF!"

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Response by jason10006
over 16 years ago
Posts: 5257
Member since: Jan 2009

"i'm curious what everyone thinks of this....the city and state make a deal with developers to finish their projects and rent them at much lower prices and the developers get large tax breaks...they did it before with stuytown, etc.."

Well, if they are bankrupt they probably have no profits to get credits against when taxed...or they probably do not exist as an entity.

Possibly the could work with the banks once they reposes, but to me that is the least desirable outcome. By the there very nature they will drive down rents - thousand of units flooding the market, when the bank just wants to unload. I think in many cases any "tax credit" provided to the likes of JPMorgan etc will just be gravy to get them to do what they would do anyway.

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Response by 30yrs_RE_20_in_REO
over 16 years ago
Posts: 9880
Member since: Mar 2009

"And don't assume that all of the ghost buildings will be completed in your lifetime:"

Does anyone remember that building on River Rd (or I guess it's Main St there? I'm talking about the place on the West side bout midway up the "big hill" ) between Edgewater and Fort Lee that sat with just the slab floors and some rebar sticking out all over the place that was like that for at least 10 years?

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Response by JuiceMan
over 16 years ago
Posts: 3578
Member since: Aug 2007

"JuiceMan said that Manhattan wasn't like Miami"

Which steve disagreed with, then steve said he didn't disagree and that I was making stuff up, then steve disagreed again, and then steve agreed but said that I didn't understand his point of view, then he agreed, and the disargeed, and now here we are. What is your point of view today steve? Is Miami like Manhattan?

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Response by aboutready
over 16 years ago
Posts: 16354
Member since: Oct 2007

I think rufie said the girls are hotter. of course he said that about the chicks in chicago too.

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Response by jason10006
over 16 years ago
Posts: 5257
Member since: Jan 2009

I would be in favor of the city finishing buildings absolutely no one will finish and then auctioning them off, or renting to MODERATE income people. But that should be a last resort.

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Response by alpine292
over 16 years ago
Posts: 2771
Member since: Jun 2008

That will never happen Jsaon. The politicians would rather give the units over to the non profits who contribute to their coampaigns. Don't be surpised when the city gives an entire buidling to ACORN.

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Response by nyc10022
over 16 years ago
Posts: 9868
Member since: Aug 2008

"Which steve disagreed with, then steve said he didn't disagree and that I was making stuff up, then steve disagreed again, and then steve agreed but said that I didn't understand his point of view, then he agreed, and the disargeed, and now here we are. What is your point of view today steve? Is Miami like Manhattan? "

Which was all only talked about to argue whether Manhattan would go down big or now. Steve's view was pretty clear on that, Juiceman's view was pretty clear on that, and who was right is now pretty clear.

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