WSJ: Spring is blooming for Manhattan property
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Property: Spring Is Blooming for Manhattan Property By Josh Barbanel 28 April 2010 The Wall Street Journal The spring selling season in Manhattan is off to the strongest start in two years, according to major real-estate brokerage firms. But prices are sluggish. Spring is traditionally the busiest selling season and sets the tone for the rest of the year. Last year, brokers said there was no... [more]
Property: Spring Is Blooming for Manhattan Property By Josh Barbanel 28 April 2010 The Wall Street Journal The spring selling season in Manhattan is off to the strongest start in two years, according to major real-estate brokerage firms. But prices are sluggish. Spring is traditionally the busiest selling season and sets the tone for the rest of the year. Last year, brokers said there was no spring season to speak up, and sales were the weakest in a dozen years. Flashy new condominiums went months without ringing up a sale and when apartments did sell, they sold at a steep discount. But psychology has shifted this year as fears of recession fade, Wall Street bonuses make a comeback and stock prices rally. "Everybody feels richer, or at least less poor," says Dolly Lenz, a top-selling broker at Prudential Douglas Elliman. Still, brokers said they don't sense a market frenzy and buyers are trying to be careful not to overpay. On Tuesday, a separate report found by S&P/Case-Shiller found that home prices in the New York metropolitan area declined 0.4% in February when compared to the prior month and were down 4.1% from a year earlier. Early signs of New York's housing recovery began to appear near the end of last year, picking up first in discounted lower priced apartments eligible for federally-insured mortgages. That was followed by a rush of sales at the end of year for more expensive apartments, after many asking prices were cut sharply. Now the recovery has extended to higher-priced apartments, those above $2 million, according to Hall F. Willkie, president of Brown Harris Stevens. Mr. Willkie said that last year only 18% of apartments were sold for more than $2 million, now they make up 40% of all sales. "Where buyers perceive good values sales are happening," he said. Mr. Willkie said contract signings were up 43% this spring compared with 2008. Diane Ramirez, president of Halstead Property, said new contracts are up by a "good, strong amount," but she declined to provide figures. Pam Leibman, president of Corcoran Group, said sales of the most expensive apartments, more than $10 million, are lagging. But for other apartments "contract signings are huge," she said. "Buyers have come out of the woodwork and they are trying to act on their instincts that this is the time to buy," she said. Still, brokers said they don't sense a market frenzy and buyers are trying to be careful not to overpay. The recovery also has been spotty: Some apartments linger, especially when sellers refuse to cut high prices, while others may attract multiple offers. In some cases, apartments that buyers walked away from a year ago because they were deemed too expensive are now selling for higher prices. At Superior Ink, a condominium and townhouse project in the West Village facing the Hudson River, a 15th floor three-bedroom condo went into contract for $7.2 million a few years ago. The apartment had 2,200 square feet of space, two Juliette balconies, and large living windows facing south and west out over New York harbor. But when it was time to close the transaction, the buyer had cold feet and walked away from a $1.4 million deposit. Last month, the same apartment was put back on the market by Related Cos., the developer of the project. It was back into contract within a week, brokers said, for $7.9 million, nearly 10% more than the previous sale price. Some properties, especially those with ties to celebrities, are selling fast. Last month, Ms. Lenz listed an 11-room duplex penthouse co-op with a large terrace at 271 Central Park West owned by Agnes Nolan, a former luxury real-estate broker, for $13.9 million. The apartment, needed lots of work but is across the hall from an apartment where actor Robin Williams once lived. He left the building a decade ago after the co-op board refused to allow him to buy Ms. Nolan's apartment and combine them. A week after it was listed, the duplex went into contract to a buyer who agreed to pay the full $13.9 million asking price, more than double what Mr. Williams was willing to pay a decade earlier. Jonathan Miller, an appraiser who prepares market reports for Prudential Douglas Elliman, warned, however, that the market could slow later in the year if interest rates rise and more and more sellers put apartments up for sale. But for now, the surging markets have given brokers reason to celebrate and spend more on marketing. At Fifth on the Park, a 28-story condominium project overlooking Marcus Garvey Park in Harlem, the developers held two parties for brokers a few weeks ago, where they announced a cut in prices on unsold units. They gave away five Apple iPads to attract brokers to the event. Now Carole Griffin, a broker for the development said four deals are "under negotiations" with serious buyers and traffic has picked up at open houses. At the Rushmore, a new condominium on Riverside Boulevard, more than a hundred brokers gathered to sample h'orderves of rolled lamb and eggplant, and go on a treasure hunt for door prizes, including private golf lessons at Chelsea Piers, a sail on the Hudson, a weekend getaway in Connecticut, private cooking classes and a day at a spa at Chelsea Piers. Kelly Mack, president of Corcoran Sunshine Marketing, said that sales at the Rushmore had surged in the last month "like a light switch turned on," and the lower priced units, under $2 million, had nearly sold out. [less]
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"the strongest start in two years"
Much akin to saying that that Titanic is closer to rising since they finally found it on the bottom.
"according to major real-estate brokerage firms."
HAHAHAHAHAHA!
Look at conveyance tax records, get back to me.
"Kelly Mack, president of Corcoran Sunshine Marketing, said that sales at the Rushmore had surged in the last month "like a light switch turned on," and the lower priced units, under $2 million, had nearly sold out."
Thank god it only nearly sold out, probably means I can buy one of the last ones. How come they didn't list Kelly's phone number?
About 3-4 years ago, I do believe that were claiming that were nearly sold out as well. You know, sell 6 apartments, then decide you've only opened up 8 for sale. If you happen to sell 8, "open" up another 2.
And this is yet another example of trying to conflate volume/activity and prices.
As I stated in an earlier thread, Corcoran is the most delusional and their brokers drink the kool aid like they are immune to diabetes.
"Much akin to saying that that Titanic is closer to rising since they finally found it on the bottom."
Are you implying a bottom steve?
I just knew some silly bull would pick up on that! I debated about the analogy, but since malraux and spunky are long gone, it might as well have been Juicy!
There will be a bottom someday, JuiceMan - about 50% below from where we are now, when rents = owners' carrying costs. Just because they found the Titanic doesn't mean it's in any position to be raised - further subsidence seems more likely.
"Juliette"?
According to steve, we were supposed to be 50% off of 2007 prices in 2008, 2009, and 2010. Since we are actually only 15% off of 2007 prices, when does steve predict we'll see 50% off 2010 prices? Does anyone actually take him seriously or has he become the SE jester? steve, are you wearing a funny green hat with bells on it?
Tough to take steve seriously when he can't even calculate the square footage of his own apartment.
JM, you should check the thread on buying and renting. I and others exposed steve's ignorant assertion that owner's carrying costs must be equal or less than rents on day 1 in order for a purchase to be justified. This is ridiculously stupid. steve did his typical downward spiral trying to defend that one.
Terribly written article (intern, perhaps?). Why do they use the same sentence twice? Are they REALLY trying to bring this point home?
Still, brokers said they don't sense a market frenzy and buyers are trying to be careful not to overpay.
Wow, all those brokers as sources! Rupert is really sprucing up the joint!
Quoth one Geico caveman: "Next time do a little research?"
"Since we are actually only 15% off of 2007 prices"
And where did you get that figure, Juicy?
Most people calculate 25%.
"I and others exposed steve's ignorant assertion that owner's carrying costs must be equal or less than rents on day 1 in order for a purchase to be justified"
HAHAHAHA! BJW said it would be a good investment to break even after 15 years.
GOOD FOR YOU!
no wonder steve is broke.
"HAHAHAHA! BJW said it would be a good investment to break even after 15 years."
Here's an idea. Stop lying. Maybe someone will finally listen to you then.
"And where did you get that figure, Juicy?
Most people calculate 25%."
25% off of 2008 prices, 15% off of 2007 prices. Source is Miller Samuel but I can't put my finger on the chart, it was posted in a SE thread somewhere.
So when will we see 50% off steve? You have been wrong for 3 years so when will you be right?
"Maybe someone will finally listen to you then."
doubtful
Doesn't this article seem perfect material for a musical! Instead of "The Producers" why not call it "The Brokers." With my apologies to Mel Brooks, I would submit the following for the main production number.
Springtime for Dolly
Real Estate was having trouble, what a sad, sad story
Needed a new leader to restore its former glory
Where, Oh where was she? Where could that girl be?
We looked around and then we found
The girl for you and me.
And now it's..
Springtime for Dolly and N.Y.C.
Buyers are happy and gay
We're selling homes at a faster pace
Look out, here comes a bidding race
Springtime for Dolly and N.Y.C.
Winter for renters and bears
Springtime for Dolly and N.Y.C.,
Come on, Brokers, go into your dance
I was at the Rushmore party, and I won a round of golf
Don't be stupid, be a smarty, come and be a mortgage party
Springtime for Dolly and N.Y.C.
Twelve-steps the new step today
Home prices falling from the skies again
Dow Jones is on the rise again
Springtime for Dolly and N.Y.C.
Broker fees are rising once more
Springtime for Dolly and N.Y.C.
Means that soon we'll be going
We've got to be going
You know we'll be having a bidding war!