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2010/11 Wall Street Bonus Thread

Started by faustus
about 15 years ago
Posts: 230
Member since: Nov 2007
Discussion about
Figured we might as well dedicate a thread to this one. Curious to hear people's thoughts/expectations. What are you hearing? Personally, I can say that expectations are not good. That said, I certainly (selfishly) hope bonuses are outsized. But I can tell you that within our firm, which has done very well relative to other i-banks, the mood is not particularly upbeat on year-end #s. Makes me very much scratch my head at the WSJ article. Other articles (Crains, etc.) Seem spot on.
Response by beatyerputz
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 330
Member since: Aug 2008

Ericho - here's an SAT question:

Last year Bob's bonus was 4x his salary. This year his boss doubled his salary but cut his bonus by 75%.

This year, in total comp Bob got (choose from the following):
A) The same as last year
B) More than last year
C) Fucked
D) Hard
E) Both C and D

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Response by beatyerputz
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 330
Member since: Aug 2008

Ericho - here's an SAT question:

Last year Bob's bonus was 4x his salary. This year his boss doubled his salary but cut his bonus by 75%.

This year, in total comp Bob got (choose from the following):
A) The same as last year
B) More than last year
C) Fucked
D) Hard
E) Both C and D

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Response by marco_m
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 2481
Member since: Dec 2008

ericho only sticks with headlines...no actual analysis is done

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Response by somewhereelse
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 7435
Member since: Oct 2009

Sometimes, he doesn't even finish the headlines.

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Response by pulaski
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 824
Member since: Mar 2009

""Spoke to a friend at MS. He manages a team of 10 people. Two are getting a bonus, 75% smaller than last year. Ouch.""

"Yes but their base was 100% bigger."

I didn't ask if they got a raise last year. I'll find out and report back.

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Response by rangersfan
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 877
Member since: Oct 2009

look, compensation (if one is willing to acknowledge the variables that translate across different "wall street" firms and businesses) is still trending down. its not the disaster many seem to embrace although I must admit the stuff coming out of MS seems pretty dismal if true and will likely hurt their franchise. other big places, not so bad. hedge funds and pe firms will be paid in accordance with performance - just like they always have. but to be clear, those popping champagne bottles from yesteryear are still a long ways from being on ice again.

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Response by somewhereelse
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 7435
Member since: Oct 2009

"hedge funds and pe firms will be paid in accordance with performance "

Of course, performance is generally over high-water mark... meaning a huge chunk won't have performance fees for yet another year.

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Response by somewhereelse
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 7435
Member since: Oct 2009

Goldman just announced that total compensation for the year will be down 5% vs. 2009, a down year.

http://www.crainsnewyork.com/article/20110119/FREE/110119851

And that doesn't factor in the deferrals and such.

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Response by NYC10013
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 464
Member since: Jan 2007

So total comp per head decreased 15% since headcount was up 10%.

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Response by beatyerputz
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 330
Member since: Aug 2008

Not good, not good.

Plus, more of that Total Comp is deferred. I can tell you that I and most of my colleagues do not view deferred comp as disposable income. In fact, most of us do not count on it. If/when it comes, gravy. If we leave, it disappears unless someone buys out our deferred equity, which isn't guaranteed and is likely to be in the form of deferred comp from the new firm, if at all.

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Response by jordyn
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 820
Member since: Dec 2007

"Plus, more of that Total Comp is deferred. I can tell you that I and most of my colleagues do not view deferred comp as disposable income."

Isn't that the whole point?

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Response by huntersburg
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 11329
Member since: Nov 2010

>Isn't that the whole point?

Hardly. Working Wall Streeters and Hedge Funders were never majority cash buyers in their home. They wanted to keep money in the market (equities, etc.), and so took out jumbo mortgages. With a resurgent Wall Street, having some of your comp locked up longer-term (which is nothing new) in Morgan Stanley or Goldman Sachs, or your hedge fund, etc. is not considered a bad thing.

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Response by jordyn
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 820
Member since: Dec 2007

I actually agree with most of what you wrote, huntersburg, but am struggling to see how it responds to my question.

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Response by huntersburg
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 11329
Member since: Nov 2010

Ok, refresh me on the question. Thanks

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Response by jordyn
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 820
Member since: Dec 2007

Isn't the whole point of moving comp from cash to deferred to have people not treat it as disposable income? (Okay, it's not the *whole* point, but generally with deferred comp you want people to be invested in the longer term prospects of the bank. You seem to be asserting that's good. I agree, although perhaps for different reasons.)

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Response by rangersfan
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 877
Member since: Oct 2009

deferred comp certainly isnt diposable income but its not "gravy" either. depending on your plan you can defer for as little as two years so its a pretty bankable source of income. and the ratios of deferred comp havent risen that dramatically in the past two years despite what may have been reported.

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Response by pulaski
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 824
Member since: Mar 2009

Pulaski: ""Spoke to a friend at MS. He manages a team of 10 people. Two are getting a bonus, 75% smaller than last year. Ouch.""

Ericho: "Yes but their base was 100% bigger."

Thei base did not increase last year. Four people got a 5% raise, rest did not get anything. Bonuses were just handed out. Ah... my friend says half his team is ready to quit. He himself is working on his resume. No bonuses for team. He as a team leader got 25% of what he got last year.

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Response by jordyn
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 820
Member since: Dec 2007

Just out of curiosity: How'd the team do this year?

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Response by somewhereelse
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 7435
Member since: Oct 2009
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Response by maly
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 1377
Member since: Jan 2009

That's just sad. Cocos!? that's the best acronym they could come up with? The article makes it sound like they'll be paid with beads instead of guilders (although that may be the right PR move.)

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Response by beatyerputz
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 330
Member since: Aug 2008

According to Dealbreaker, Credit Suisse paid its research analysts bonuses of $0-5K.

Brokers must be salivating!

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Response by somewhereelse
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 7435
Member since: Oct 2009

oh my lord. less than $5k. Are we kidding?

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Response by hrdnitlr
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 149
Member since: Jun 2007

Another item on cash vs stock portion of bonuses:

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2011-02-01/citigroup-said-to-boost-stock-portion-of-2010-bonuses-for-bankers-traders.html

[At Citigroup] "The New York-based bank aims to pay some recipients as much
as 50 percent of 2010 bonuses in shares, compared with about 40
percent a year earlier, one of the people said, declining to be
identified because the plans aren’t public. The percentages are
guidelines and individual awards vary, three people familiar
with the matter said."

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Response by AvUWS
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 839
Member since: Mar 2008

The news there is that a basket case like Citi is still paying bonuses. What is wrong with this picture?

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Response by hrdnitlr
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 149
Member since: Jun 2007

AvUWS said: "The news there is that a basket case like Citi is still paying bonuses. What is wrong with this picture?"

Well, you know, there's benefits just from survival. Remember, both Bear Stearns and Lehman failed, and they were huge organizations. There's almost certainly some business that their succcessors (JP Morgan, Barclays) didn't manage to hold onto, and all the other surviving banks got some of that. So even Citi probably has net gained corporate clients to help keep them busy, even after all that bank's been through.

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Response by hrdnitlr
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 149
Member since: Jun 2007

More on the cash vs. non-cash problem:

http://dealbreaker.com/2011/02/bonus-watch-11-credit-suisse-has-an-arithmetic-problem-for-employees/

"Credit Suisse has jumped on the tantra bandwagon and decided that 2010 bonuses will be paid out through 2014 (bonuses above $50,000 are subject to deferral, no matter the recipient’s title at the bank). Here’s what employees have to work with: ..."

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Response by somewhereelse
almost 15 years ago
Posts: 7435
Member since: Oct 2009

Even with all the non-cash, restricted issues... still down 9% (off a year that wasn't very good). So much for the bounce.

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