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Compendium Of A Bubble

Started by apt23
over 14 years ago
Posts: 2041
Member since: Jul 2009
Discussion about
I think it would be interesting to see concise listing histories that really track the Bubble we all have lived through. It actually might be an interesting record if indeed NY RE does continue to track downward. I find listings like this one a very compelling and concise correlation to our recent economic history. You can track irrational exuberance and even QEII here. A perfect history would also log the downturn. But alas,,, one must learn to read between the lines. 146 W 57th Street #66B in Midtown STREETEASY HISTORY 09/26/1997 Previous Sale recorded for $925,000. 08/27/1999 Previous Sale recorded for $1,350,000. 06/20/2007 Previous Sale recorded for $2,900,000. 09/12/2011 Listed by Macklowe Management Co. Inc at $3,395,000.
Response by inonada
over 14 years ago
Posts: 7952
Member since: Oct 2008

The $500K premium must be because part of the view of that wild overgrown urban eyesore known as Central Park will now be replaced by a direct view of a gleaming new tower.

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Response by stevejhx
over 14 years ago
Posts: 12656
Member since: Feb 2008

The Bubble lives on - now in the form of commodities and stocks. Hey Bernakers: PUMP UP THE VOLUME! See if you can squeeze what's left of the Middle Class and trickle it up to the speculators.

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Response by walterh7
over 14 years ago
Posts: 383
Member since: Dec 2006

Here is another good example. Renovation in late 2010 does add value, but I believe they are stretching. Kinda funny when a year ago they didn't need to pay the listing price, yet after 13 months it is 'worth' 33% more. I figure we'll see this in the 'price chopper' thread.

239 Central Park West #6C

STREETEASY HISTORY
01/24/2005 Previous Sale recorded for $1,625,000.
04/15/2010 Previously Listed by Prudential Elliman at $1,850,000.
07/29/2010 Previous Sale recorded for $1,800,000.
09/13/2011 Listed by Prudential Elliman at $2,395,000.

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Response by walterh7
over 14 years ago
Posts: 383
Member since: Dec 2006

And lets see if this one can hold the amazing run up...

386 Columbus Avenue #15A

03/06/1995 Previous Sale recorded for $380,000.
07/06/2000 Previous Sale recorded for $790,000.
05/24/2005 Previous Sale recorded for $1,750,000.
05/30/2007 Previous Sale recorded for $1,995,000.
09/14/2011 Listed by Halstead Property at $1,995,000.

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Response by huntersburg
over 14 years ago
Posts: 11329
Member since: Nov 2010

Why doesn't this thread have apt23's typical complaining about Europe and how Europe will be the destruction of U.S. real estate?

Markets up 2.5-4% today in Europe.

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Response by inonada
over 14 years ago
Posts: 7952
Member since: Oct 2008

Walterh, that stretch of CPW was very sketchy back in 2010, now much safer.

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Response by West34
over 14 years ago
Posts: 1040
Member since: Mar 2009

hey stevejhx -- havent you heard, they're not speculators,they're JOB CREATORS! :-O

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Response by stevejhx
over 14 years ago
Posts: 12656
Member since: Feb 2008

I have heard, W34 - and I laughed, b/c they're not doing a very good job of it.

What they are is "The Bailed Out" - a new one coming today, central banks bailing out European banks. How this unwinds...?

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Response by falcogold1
over 14 years ago
Posts: 4159
Member since: Sep 2008

They ARE job creators!

Why just a few years ago the 2 maids, nanny, handyman, country house landscapers, baby sitter and the women that does your nails...all illegals working for cash. Today with the changes created by the fed all those same jobs are now on the books being done by US citizens. Not to mention that now with the changes in place you can afford them.

Via La Revolution!

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Response by stevejhx
over 14 years ago
Posts: 12656
Member since: Feb 2008

Let's see today's news:

1) Jobless claims 420k - more than expected
2) NYS Empire - worse than expected
3) Philly Fed - worse than expected
4) Inflation - worse than expected

Oil - UP!
Commodities - UP!
Stocks - UP!

Why?

More bailouts - that aren't going to work.

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Response by huntersburg
over 14 years ago
Posts: 11329
Member since: Nov 2010

>More bailouts - that aren't going to work.

When will we feel the impact of this not working?

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Response by w67thstreet
over 14 years ago
Posts: 9003
Member since: Dec 2008

Fine thread.... Almost like a 'the holocaust' was REAL exhibit...... For oldpenis and general Borkers who still don't get IT.

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Response by truthskr10
over 14 years ago
Posts: 4088
Member since: Jul 2009

key element is "Listed by Macklowe Management Co."

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Response by West81st
over 14 years ago
Posts: 5564
Member since: Jan 2008

walterh7: You might be too kind regarding 239 CPW. I'm not sure the renovation really amounted to much.

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Response by apt23
over 14 years ago
Posts: 2041
Member since: Jul 2009

Seems as if hopes and dreams can have more volatility than the stock market. Note the correlation between price adjustment and stock market performance. Note that it was taken off the market (rental?) so as not to reflect the Lehman debacle only to return at an even higher price. Ah, the sustainability of hope. Excelsior!! But it looks like hope does not spring eternal forever. And, worse the last ask price --significantly below purchase price -- was before the mini crash this week. I suppose we should look for another price drop soon.

http://streeteasy.com/nyc/sale/618580-condo-1-central-park-south-central-park-south-new-york

STREETEASY HISTORY
03/11/2008
Previous Sale recorded for $3,485,256.
06/16/2008
Previously Listed by Sotheby's at $4,600,000.
07/14/2008
Sotheby's Listing is no longer available. Last priced at $4,750,000.
12/02/2009
Previously Listed by Brown Harris Stevens at $5,995,000.
08/26/2010
Delisted by Brown Harris Stevens.
06/25/2011
Listed by Brown Harris Stevens at $3,200,000.

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Response by Brooks2
over 14 years ago
Posts: 2970
Member since: Aug 2011

>Apt23

I just posted this on another thread-- Plaza buyers starting to take a loss.

http://streeteasy.com/nyc/sale/573774-condo-1-central-park-south-central-park-south-new-york


This wealth individual that just sold her apartment at the plaza- for 2.75mm- made a ton of money too.. if you call only losing $141k in 4 years a ton of money!!

0/09/2007
Previous Sale recorded for $(insiders only)
07/12/2010
Previously Listed by Prudential Elliman at $2,900,000.
11/02/2010
Prudential Elliman Listing is no longer available.
12/21/2010
Listed by Corcoran at $3,500,000.
02/08/2011
Price decreased by 6% to $3,275,000.
03/14/2011
Price decreased by 9% to $2,995,000.
08/01/2011
Listing entered contract.
09/13/2011
Listing sold.
09/13/2011
Sale recorded for $(insiders only)

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Response by falcogold1
over 14 years ago
Posts: 4159
Member since: Sep 2008

Wow, what a hair cut at the Plaza whose address is more like vanity plates than a really good car. I'd rank this apartment as a GMC Matador with plates that read 'ASS MAN'.

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Response by NWT
over 14 years ago
Posts: 6643
Member since: Sep 2008

Since Brooks2 can't swing the $10 to see prices without going to ACRIS, here're the Plaza details:

10/09/2007 Previous Sale recorded for $2,944,259.
07/12/2010 Previously Listed by Prudential Elliman at $2,900,000.
11/02/2010 Prudential Elliman Listing is no longer available.
12/21/2010 Listed by Corcoran at $3,500,000.
02/08/2011 Price decreased by 6% to $3,275,000.
03/14/2011 Price decreased by 9% to $2,995,000.
08/01/2011 Listing entered contract.
09/13/2011 Sale recorded for $2,750,000.

At $200,000 down, plus transaction costs, they ended paying about $16,000 per month over the four years. Not much worse than rent, but the seller's probably not whining either way. Maybe kicking themselves for going with the Plaza instead of 15CPW, another 2007 choice for this kind of buyer.

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Response by Brooks2
over 14 years ago
Posts: 2970
Member since: Aug 2011

>>>NWT Since Brooks2 can't swing the $10 to see prices without going to ACRIS, here're the Plaza details:

Hey knucklehead, what details did you include that I did not? or do you not know how to add?

This wealth individual that just sold her apartment at the plaza- for 2.75mm- made a ton of money too.. if you call only losing $141k in 4 years a ton of money. Bot it for 2,891mm

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Response by huntersburg
over 14 years ago
Posts: 11329
Member since: Nov 2010

>>>>NWT Since Brooks2 can't swing the $10 to see prices without going to ACRIS, here're the Plaza details:
Hey knucklehead, what details did you include that I did not? or do you not know how to add?

NWT, Brooks2 logs in under his other paying account to get the full details, then posts as Brooks2

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Response by Brooks2
over 14 years ago
Posts: 2970
Member since: Aug 2011

HB, why do i have to be someone else? Why can't I just be me?

how many different alias' do you log in under?

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Response by huntersburg
over 14 years ago
Posts: 11329
Member since: Nov 2010

Ask columbiacounty, he's got a long list.

so then Brooks2, why wouldnt you be spending the $10/mo? You seem educated and able to afford it, not to mention certainly interested in the topic enough to get value from it.

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Response by Brooks2
over 14 years ago
Posts: 2970
Member since: Aug 2011

why don't you? and why are you gray?

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