Fed Speak, Losses are assets
Started by Riversider
about 13 years ago
Posts: 13573
Member since: Apr 2009
Discussion about
"Could the Fed go broke? The answer to this question was 'Yes,' but is now 'No,'" said Raymond Stone, managing director at Stone & McCarthy in Princeton, New Jersey. "An accounting methodology change at the central bank will allow the Fed to incur losses, even substantial losses, without eroding its capital." The change essentially allows the Fed to denote losses by the various regional reserve banks that make up the Fed system as a liability to the Treasury rather than a hit to its capital. It would then simply direct future profits from Fed operations toward that liability http://www.reuters.com/article/2011/01/21/us-usa-fed-accounting-idUSTRE70K6OK20110121
In a recent paper five Fed economists calculated that if the Fed buys $1 trillion of bonds this year and starts tightening in 2014, then the Fed’s profit will turn to loss by 2017. Cumulative losses could eventually reach $40 billion, from higher interest expenses and realised losses on MBS sales (the economists assume the Fed will hold its Treasuries to maturity). If interest rates rise more sharply than expected, losses could peak at $125 billion, and the Fed would pay no profit for six years.
http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21570753-what-happens-when-fed-starts-losing-money-other-side-qe
http://www.federalreserve.gov/pubs/feds/2013/201301/201301pap.pdf