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Even the cheapest homes are waiting for buyers

Started by hudsonhome
over 7 years ago
Posts: 46
Member since: Feb 2014
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Response by front_porch
over 7 years ago
Posts: 5316
Member since: Mar 2008

Yes and No. Inventory IS higher than where it was at this time last year -- by double-digits.

But if you look at quarter-over-quarter changes, the "absorption rate" -- the number of months it would take to clear out inventory at the current sales pace -- is actually dropping.

So the market is slow, but it is also picking up the pace from a fairly abysmal Q1, and some of what we're seeing is that sellers who came on in Q1 (or even last year) who are marking their prices to market (down from a year ago, because of the impact of higher interest rates and the impact of the tax bill) are getting into contract.

ali r.
{upstairs realty}

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Response by 30yrs_RE_20_in_REO
over 7 years ago
Posts: 9877
Member since: Mar 2009

Does anyone know if the "absorption rate" figures include only sales, or do they also include apartments taken off the market? Since my suspicion is that it includes both, and since we know that the percentage of units being taken off the market without selling has drastically increased recently, lowering of absorption rate wouldn't necessarily indicate a healthy sales market.

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Response by 300_mercer
over 7 years ago
Posts: 10570
Member since: Feb 2007

From the article:
"In Manhattan, the inventory of sub-$1 million apartments surged 27 percent in June from a year earlier to 3,087, the most for the month since 2013, according to StreetEasy. "

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Response by 300_mercer
over 7 years ago
Posts: 10570
Member since: Feb 2007

2395 apartments at per this search which includes upper manhattan (harlem, inwood, washington heights etc)
https://streeteasy.com/for-sale/manhattan/status:open%7Cprice:10000-1000000

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Response by 300_mercer
over 7 years ago
Posts: 10570
Member since: Feb 2007
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Response by 300_mercer
over 7 years ago
Posts: 10570
Member since: Feb 2007

If Grant Long is reading, would love to see Manhattan ex Upper Manhattan numbers for 2013 -current by year.

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