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Historical Rents

Started by caramia311
about 17 years ago
Posts: 19
Member since: Aug 2007
Discussion about
Does anyone know a good source to see the historical rents in NY from the early 1980s on? I am moving to another state for at least four years. I own a coop and am trying to decide what to do with it. Right now, I could rent it out for the monthly costs (a few hundred short, but all of that goes directly to pay down the principal on the mortgage, so there's no overall loss). Per my coop rules, I can sublet for up to five years. If I sell now I think I will lose about $20-30k due to flip taxes. Another issue is taxes. My losses are not deductible if I sell at a loss as a residence. But I believe that some losses (assuming any) will be deductible when I sell. thoughts?
Response by samer
about 17 years ago
Posts: 2
Member since: Oct 2008

how would information from the early 1980s help you?

Are you planning to vote for Reagan this election? Or Carter?

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Response by kspeak
about 17 years ago
Posts: 813
Member since: Aug 2008

I understand why somebody would want this. If I were looking to sublet my place on a long-term basis I'd want to have some idea where rents might end up in a downturn. Rents have spiked in the past 3-4 years and I too am curious what the history is ... would love to see this data too.

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Response by alanhart
about 17 years ago
Posts: 12397
Member since: Feb 2007

Yes, I agree that it's very important to know historical performance of rents if you're of the "well, then I'll just rent it out" mentality -- as an individual unit owner, or as a developer of a condo that isn't selling, with a big fat construction loan looming overhead.

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Response by anonymous
about 17 years ago

Do you really want to become a landlord and deal with the headaches associated with it?

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Response by enfuego
about 17 years ago
Posts: 30
Member since: Oct 2008

This is a naive question, but how great are the headaches associated with being a landlord? I live in a full service condo, so I had assumed that the building staff would handle the day-to-day nuisances if I ever decided to rent out my apartment.

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Response by crescent22
about 17 years ago
Posts: 953
Member since: Apr 2008

Well, this is the equation a buyer goes through:

(Buy price + yearly maintenance costs [post-tax deduction]) divided by yearly rent of a similar unit
This multiple compare to the stock market (if that is what you would otherwise do with the principal) or the inverse of the yield to whatever bonds you might buy.

SO your equation is the opposite
(Sell price (be realistic, what it would take to sell it now - $150-250/sf below current ask prices) - yearly maintenance costs) - compare with the SPX now trading at 10-11x.

It's very likely it comes out favorable to sell now.

Sure makes sense that the stock market should rise before the real estate market does. Notwithstanding the amazing resilience the real estate market had to previous declines, this problem is a lot closer to the Manhattan real estate market. One should make a good amount in the market before real estate prices bottom.

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Response by crescent22
about 17 years ago
Posts: 953
Member since: Apr 2008

(divided by rent you can get) in the middle of the 2nd equation

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