Manhattan Prime Up 37.3% YTY, 114% post glut cover/implementation of "new" safety building codes
Started by ss400k
about 17 years ago
Posts: 405
Member since: Nov 2008
Discussion about
If you watch ESPN news, or bump into your office's pathetic stat geek, observe that these number crunchers always seem to be the last people you'd expect to succeed at coordinated physical exertion. Same goes for real estate forecasting (read: speculation with numbers isolated out of context, but still...speculation) This decade sucked for Gotham. It started off by tickling our nuts with the tail... [more]
If you watch ESPN news, or bump into your office's pathetic stat geek, observe that these number crunchers always seem to be the last people you'd expect to succeed at coordinated physical exertion. Same goes for real estate forecasting (read: speculation with numbers isolated out of context, but still...speculation) This decade sucked for Gotham. It started off by tickling our nuts with the tail end of an IT bubble orgy which blue-balled, followed by tragic events downtown. We experienced a blackout, a transit strike, a couple of shitty winters, and the ideological smugness of 3rd world Boston. All arrows pointed down, but thankfully with the popularity of Sex and The City, young, slightly obese 20 somethings from Upper Saddle River to Paris forced their parents to anchor their fancies of gluttonous excess in a shoddy walkup they pretended to afford on their own via their plebeian publishing jobs to nowhere, all for the sake to claim under Anna Wintour's umbrella, albeit indirectly. In 2004, despite the series' cessation, pandemonium was thwarted by the rumored promise of an upcoming movie. The time between the show's conclusion and the commencement of the SATC movie in 2008, placed the city in a diffident trance. Articles began to repeat themselves, asking if we were nearing the end of a bubble. Parents, not wanting to disappoint their newly transplanted chubby trustafarians marched on and paid higher rents until pudgy little Jane could get her SATC movie fix. In May 30, 2008 Sex and the City the Movie outsold theaters worldwide. The blitzkrieg of moviegoers symbolized the last attempt at irresponsible gluttony. Sadly, the movie was met with mild reviews, gaining a mere 5.4 user review from the imdb community. What happened next was all too evident. Parents pulled their hogs from the city and back to Dayton, crippling landlords and muting their indulgences, leading to conservative low transaction portfolios, and clearly the destruction of brokerage houses citywide and one half of MePa. Battered and bruised, in true native New York fashion (all 3 of us), we however find the silver lining. Justin Timberlake has closed on a unit in Tribeca. The salivating spark of resurgence in beefy Jane from Dayton to exploit lower city rents to Mom will be met with agreement born out of guilt for her own daughter. Included in Jane's proposal will also be the fact that Whitney from The Hills will be having her own spinoff entitled "The City" to tape in Manhattan. The hungry hippo that she is, Jane will give no light mention of Top Chef's new season to be taped where else but the Apple. Google's recently expanded footprint would put this bovine amongst the best of the growing creative class in the city. She always knew the Silicone boys preferred our Chelsea younglings. Unfortunate that she's invisible to either sex despite her Lambertson Truex clutch, stuffed with self-denial and emotional co-dependency. The soon to be aired Housewives of New Jersey will showcase a first ever mass influx of reverse commuters who will reside in Manhattan, but choose to hob-knob in Ridgewood, Montclair, and for the daring, Alpine. With the tripling of the Empire State Film Production Tax Credit, the cattle of plain Janes throughout the world will be sure that future glamorous projects such as SATC the movie will continue to thrive in the city, all the more making their case to Mom to come back to Manhattan all the more tangible. With the departure of financiers, Jane can be sure that the rest of her herd won't be publicly taunted as the new social and economic model intensifies to the point where she not only is openly accepted into the city's fabric, but she becomes the new majority. With lowered housing prices in the city, she'll start to think that maybe now's the time to buy. But Dayton Jane should have predicted, er speculated, that it would have been better to have bought during the peak, as the one sure thing worth less than her soon to be lower priced condo, is her comparative US dollar. [less]
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???
Hey ss400k what are you smokin?
Get a job!
"With the departure of financiers, Jane can be sure that the rest of her herd won't be publicly taunted as the new social and economic model intensifies to the point where she not only is openly accepted into the city's fabric, but she becomes the new majority."
How can you disagree? Remember when Lucy moved to Westport? Same thing happened - her wax tulips wilted in the sun.
I appreciate your commentary. It is truly amazing how many fat young girls - with little or no earning capacity - move to New York City simply because they fall in love with the Devil Wears Prada or the Sex & The City television series. Oh, the false promises of glam apartments, chic clothes, and rich men just dying to commit.
Um, the rich men were *not* dying to commit in those stories, Patrick, which you would know if you had actually watched the programs or read the book. Both were as much about women and their careers as they were about dating and clothes. Few women OR MEN start out in this city with significant earning capacity; the fact that they keep coming to try is part of what keeps the city vibrant.
your dollar will fall more than manhattan prime, giving you the false sense of a good deal. i drink from your milkshake.
So funny and true.
"your dollar will fall more than manhattan prime, giving you the false sense of a good deal."
Not sure I get the logic. If the dollar falls more than Manhattan prime, doesn't real estate become more expensive? How is that a false sense of a good deal?
exactly Juice, 80% of the bears forecasted (speculated) the RE crash...right on dudes.
however their RE predictions were made in a vacuum, assuming a weakened, but stabilized climate. of course now that we know of the black swan's coming trillion dollar albatross and a new administration of beefy, delicious taxes, that 30% prime drop might as well be a 5% gain on real property, taking into consideration the dollar's fall, as you note.
but we're just dumb bulls, who bought at peak, since real estate can be argued as an isolated transaction, void of any unforeseen regulatory failures..right?
so sideliners have the "crash," they've been hoping for. wait another 7 years for the cheap $usd to strengthen before pulling the trigger? not a bad plan, so what if you can't enjoy the city in your youth as you planned, it did score highly as one of the best places to retire. keep renting until "perfect conditions," what a concept!
http://news.lalate.com/2008/10/21/whitney-port-mtv-the-city-video/
CANNOT WAIT to run into the filming crew and just happen to be im my chic old navy plaid flip flops with seersucker suit.
first coldplay last week, now this:
http://ny.therealdeal.com/articles/maroon-5-member-buys-uws-co-op-for-3m
here cometh Jane, should I stop shorting DECK (makers of Uggs) and start hoarding, or wait until the "The City" premiers in Jan '09?
"of course now that we know of the black swan's coming trillion dollar albatross and a new administration of beefy, delicious taxes, that 30% prime drop might as well be a 5% gain on real property, taking into consideration the dollar's fall, as you note"
true... but what makes you think that will affect everything except... RE prices.
That 30% decline could turn into a whole lot more if the economy is in shambles.
yes, real estate falls under "everything"
one word: shia
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=iB270fk-FhM
run jane run
give me them bright lights
how about moving your dollars to foreign fx -- doubling the value and then buying flat or down? Sounds like a winner!!
after the dead bear slide, the sudden cessation of building permits, and the continuing apprehension to jump co-op board hurdles, my glass condo remains it's weekday entertaining sparkle...nooow, where is that olivia palermo hiding? 49 grove? bijoux? bemelmans?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u5qcccB5-JM&feature=related
i'm seeing some yellow for pre-fall fashion week...watch for upticks on the dow sept
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=6AUntKSzcGw
Watch it Bateman,
Chubby faced dim bulbs are one of the great natural resorces this city still has. They are friendly, accommidating, still eating out of daddy's pocket, still paying the rent, still shopping with a CC with their mom's name on it and, easy to isolate from the herd. They, my friend, are like a Moped. Tons of fun to ride but, you wouldn't want your friends to see you on either. They provide an enviornment to polish one's lower order social abilities. They will be missed............
i'm seeing shoulder pads, and neon compared to last year's drear silhouettes..who has my chalk?
http://nymag.com/fashion/09/spring/54321/
hey i'm fat and happy...my 200 extra pounds keep me warm in the winter.