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Cap Rates on Brooklyn Brownstones

Started by bjw2103
over 13 years ago
Posts: 6236
Member since: Jul 2007
Discussion about
Curious what others are seeing out there, as well as what you would deem acceptable for the inherent risk. I'm seeing a lot at 5%, which I don't think is good enough.
Response by alanhart
over 13 years ago
Posts: 12397
Member since: Feb 2007

What are you using to determine cap rates? And no, 5% isn't good enough.

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Response by nyc10023
over 13 years ago
Posts: 7614
Member since: Nov 2008

Ditto, I'm seeing 5% (on net) which isn't good enough.

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Response by bjw2103
over 13 years ago
Posts: 6236
Member since: Jul 2007

ah, factoring all closing costs plus estimated repairs (if needed), utilities, taxes, insurance, and 11 months' rent roll. In general, I'm seeing slightly higher rates (6-7%) if there's a commercial space on the ground floor, but I know those are trickier to rent out.

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Response by bjw2103
over 13 years ago
Posts: 6236
Member since: Jul 2007

10023, which neighborhoods have you looked in?

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Response by alanhart
over 13 years ago
Posts: 12397
Member since: Feb 2007

That's a good start. You also need projected short-, medium- and long-term repair/replacement projections (in today's dollars), even if the place doesn't appear to require repairs now. Structures are deteriorating life-forms. You also probably need some ongoing labor, unless you seriously expect to do all the snow-shoveling and the trash-bag routine and sidewalk and hallway cleaning. A little legal, a little accounting. Like that.

http://visulate.net/investment

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Response by bjw2103
over 13 years ago
Posts: 6236
Member since: Jul 2007

Right, thanks alan. I do have a very general maintenance and management item in my calcs, but this is a bit more detailed, which is especially helpful to get to a more accurate number.

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Response by Pawn_Harvester
over 13 years ago
Posts: 321
Member since: Jan 2009

people want 5%. I can't see how it makes sense at those levels. You can by a shopping center in NJ at a 9% cap.

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Response by alanhart
over 13 years ago
Posts: 12397
Member since: Feb 2007

When the bubble was fully inflated, of course, people were happy with negative cap rates (or maybe there's a divide-by-zero "meaningless in the set of real numbers" impossibility to that; I don't believe in mathematics so I couldn't tell you). So at 5% you're getting a MUCH better deal than only a few years ago. Sold!

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Response by MAV
over 13 years ago
Posts: 502
Member since: Sep 2007

The market value of the apt buildings are higher because of growth potential. The shopping center in NJ is not going to have much different numbers in a few years....

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Response by bjw2103
over 13 years ago
Posts: 6236
Member since: Jul 2007

Growth potential? Asking prices in Bed-Stuy inching towards $1.5m. That's way past growth. That's elephantiasis.

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Response by MAV
over 13 years ago
Posts: 502
Member since: Sep 2007

I was talking general terms of resi vs commercial cap rates

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Response by Pawn_Harvester
over 13 years ago
Posts: 321
Member since: Jan 2009

MAV - Why would NY residential have greater growth potential than NJ retail or commercial?

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Response by w67thstreet
over 13 years ago
Posts: 9003
Member since: Dec 2008

Reits and utilities giving off 13%..... So so myopic. Get bigger thicker coke bootle glasses.

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Response by bjw2103
over 13 years ago
Posts: 6236
Member since: Jul 2007

w67th, agreed, but this is for a 1031 exchange. Otherwise, it's all Sprint all the time!

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Response by alanhart
over 13 years ago
Posts: 12397
Member since: Feb 2007

What are you 1031 exchanging?

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Response by RealestateNurse
over 13 years ago
Posts: 0
Member since: Aug 2011

5% was the accepted norm in 2007. The expectation of rising equity in price valuations drove the market.
There are to many pitfalls to accumulate at a 5% Capitalization Rate. Look for a higher rate. Positive Cash Flow with larger Cap. rates are out there. Try finding an Internal Rate of Return on your Cash Flow. Good luck on your investment and your return and what you do with that return.

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Response by bjw2103
over 13 years ago
Posts: 6236
Member since: Jul 2007

Rental property in DC.

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Response by bearcat
over 13 years ago
Posts: 0
Member since: Feb 2012

BJW you can find a 5% cap in Manhattan, if you spend $5mm and up

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Response by bjw2103
over 13 years ago
Posts: 6236
Member since: Jul 2007

Already finding better than 5 (though not much) in Brooklyn without having to throw $5m at an illiquid asset. As stated above, 5 ain't good enough.

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