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Sales price plateau in Greenwich Village?

Started by kylewest
over 10 years ago
Posts: 4455
Member since: Aug 2007
Discussion about
For the first time since 2010 or 2011, I am seeing price reductions in asking prices for GV real estate AND some properties for sale sitting for more than 4 weeks. My take: prices have been moving up steadily and with each new wave of offerings, sellers were pushing the upper boundaries testing what the market would bear. Up until recently, the market would bear just about anything in GV. But it seems a plateau for price increases has been reached for now. Its been quite a brisk run up to this point, so some cooling off still leaves units selling for some eye-popping prices. But the market seems to be spanking the greediest of sellers lately. Anyone else seeing this? Anyone care to weigh in?
Response by fieldschester
over 10 years ago
Posts: 3525
Member since: Jul 2013

Oh come on. Since 2010, that was just 5 years ago. What kind of time horizon did you have? If you really need to be pinching pennies, just cut out the tip to your garage attendants and lower the Christmas tip to you building staff. Jeez, if you are going to live on edge financially, you might as well move to Florida.

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Response by rb345
over 10 years ago
Posts: 1273
Member since: Jun 2009

Kylewest;

1. I am seeing a similar phenomenon in Fort Greene

2. however, it is too soon to know whether the market has
peaked or whether the last two months turmoil in world
Chinese and American markets has caused a stall while
fence-sitters wait to see where the markets are going

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Response by fieldschester
over 10 years ago
Posts: 3525
Member since: Jul 2013

What was it we had for dinner tonight?
Kyle: well, we had a choice of steak or fish.
rb345: yes, yes, I remember, I had the lasagna.

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Response by Belgariad
over 10 years ago
Posts: 58
Member since: Jan 2011
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Response by streetsmart
over 10 years ago
Posts: 883
Member since: Apr 2009

The median co-op price was down 4% from the second quarter, to$730,000 while condo prices rose to a record level of 1.475 million, therefore the overall median price went down 3% due to a decrease in co-op prices.

Urbandigs reported the number of contracts signed in Auguest was down over 16% from last year while Corcoran reported the number of signed contracts was down over 6%.

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Response by rb345
over 10 years ago
Posts: 1273
Member since: Jun 2009

1. the most reliable statistic is price/sq.ft.
2. otherwise product mix of units sold will distort quarter-quarter comparison

3. and that is complicated by the fact that so many brokers lie about the
size of the apartments they are selling, thus making data dependent
upon their footage reporting unreliable

4. same o similar unit comps, which one of the federal agencies
uses, are more reliable, bot perfect because they are not usu-
ally adjusted for property condition or improvements or related
party sales

5. the most reliable barometer on the market is the number of emergency
room visits made by unsuccessful buyers and that number is still rising

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Response by Admin2009
over 10 years ago
Posts: 380
Member since: Mar 2014

sell everything NOWWWWWWWWWW ... or. . . . maybe not

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Response by gothamsboro
over 10 years ago
Posts: 536
Member since: Sep 2013

No Admin, unless your time horizon is as short as Kyle's. Hopefully you didn't waste money on a renovation that you can't recover.

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Response by Admin2009
over 10 years ago
Posts: 380
Member since: Mar 2014

you didn't get the reference

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Response by streetsmart
over 10 years ago
Posts: 883
Member since: Apr 2009
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Response by kylewest
over 10 years ago
Posts: 4455
Member since: Aug 2007

I don't even understand the snark. What "time horizon" do I supposedly have? I'm not selling.

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Response by rb345
over 10 years ago
Posts: 1273
Member since: Jun 2009

Kyle:

1. ignore gothamsborough
2. he's just a troll looking to annoy people

3. if we all ignore him he will hopefully slither
back into his own burrow

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Response by multicityresident
over 10 years ago
Posts: 2441
Member since: Jan 2009

@kylewest - If I thought anyone was immune to his baiting, I thought it was you. The troll knows full well that you are not a market-timer and do not view your home as pure investment decision; he is just bored and is trying to get a rise out of you. Were you feeling particularly charitable, you could throw him a bone now and then.

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Response by fieldschester
over 10 years ago
Posts: 3525
Member since: Jul 2013

Hey multicityresident, do you pay NYC taxes?

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Response by multicityresident
over 10 years ago
Posts: 2441
Member since: Jan 2009

Yes.

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Response by fieldschester
over 10 years ago
Posts: 3525
Member since: Jul 2013

Well then call yourself NYCresident, why don't you?

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Response by multicityresident
over 10 years ago
Posts: 2441
Member since: Jan 2009

Wouldn't feel right because I am not there enough. It is one thing to be a resident in the eyes of the law and another to be a real resident. There is nothing that I would like more than to be a real NYC resident, but I could not hold myself out as one vis-a-vis all the real New Yorkers on this site. This is why I have a special contempt for individuals like HWNCNBM who take all the benefits of the city but then skirt the burdens and then have the gall to call themselves New Yorkers.

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Response by JJ2
over 10 years ago
Posts: 114
Member since: May 2014

@Admin2009

Everyone else got the reference , LOL

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Response by fieldschester
over 10 years ago
Posts: 3525
Member since: Jul 2013

hwncnbm ?

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Response by 300_mercer
over 10 years ago
Posts: 10625
Member since: Feb 2007

Kyle,

I think what you are seeing is ridiculous listing prices and prices cuts from there.

This one worth $4mm max as it needs a gut.
http://streeteasy.com/building/30-east-10-street-new_york/10n

Ridiculous listing price for this one. WIll have to cut 1mm.

http://streeteasy.com/building/838-greenwich-street-new_york/1ab

Same way 37 east 12th will have to cut the prices to $2500 as sq ft to move it.

12 East 13th managed to move at $2200 per sq ft for new construction.

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Response by kylewest
over 10 years ago
Posts: 4455
Member since: Aug 2007

I agree Mercer. But frankly many of the asking prices from the past couple of years seemed a bit fantastic and then we saw the units selling at ask or above. So I get why sellers have kept nudging their asking prices upward to test what the limits are. I think we found them for the time being. But finding limits is far from prices falling. No indication of that at all from what I see.

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Response by fieldschester
over 10 years ago
Posts: 3525
Member since: Jul 2013

Yeah, a "plateau" is "far from prices falling".

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Response by rangersfan
over 10 years ago
Posts: 877
Member since: Oct 2009

ask steve f. buy now or be priced out forever, rah, rah, rah shishbooombahhhhhhh. repeat.

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Response by cbreeze
over 10 years ago
Posts: 39
Member since: Apr 2010

I've seen prices GV plateau as well. A good example is the Butterfield House. Prices have been reduced and units are still sitting.

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Response by Flutistic
over 10 years ago
Posts: 516
Member since: Apr 2007

The same thing is happening in northern Brooklyn, in my opinion. Lots of little arrows pointing down, as we used to say.

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Response by rb345
over 10 years ago
Posts: 1273
Member since: Jun 2009

Flutistic:

What parts of Northern Brooklyn are you referring to

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Response by Flutistic
over 10 years ago
Posts: 516
Member since: Apr 2007

All, really, in the $1 mil to 1.5 mil, SE reports 22 price cuts, but I know there are more than that because I know of apartments for sale that aren't on SE.

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Response by rb345
over 10 years ago
Posts: 1273
Member since: Jun 2009

Flutistic:

1. the north Brooklyn market varies in terms of location convenience and desirability
2. from my observations the peripheral properties are showing the worst effects

3.while the choicest prime parts are still holding up well
4. is that yours as well

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Response by Flutistic
over 10 years ago
Posts: 516
Member since: Apr 2007

Well sure, rb, every property is unique. There are always properties that cut through the mix, in any market. Talking about the run of the mill nice apartment in the lowest reaches of the mansion tax. But the numbers in Brooklyn are a striking departure from, say, 3 years ago or so. Sellers are unrealistic and some are not prepping their properties well---I don't mean staging, I mean basic cleaning. Zillow predicts a price slide for 2016 of 2-3% YOY, I think it's going to be more than that. Sellers markets will turn into buyers markets eventually. And don't forget those 22,000 new apartments coming along:
http://www.crainsnewyork.com/article/20150818/REAL_ESTATE/150819520/northern-brooklyn-set-to-get-22000-new-apartments-by-2019-report-says

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Response by 300_mercer
over 10 years ago
Posts: 10625
Member since: Feb 2007

cbreeze, on your butterfield house comment. I think the current listing are expecting to sell at new condo prices. For example the ~2000 sq ft max 3 bed, in ok condition (no bathroom pictures may be a tell) at 4.3+ million? I would have
thought market price is sub 4mm and the new owner can spend $300k for sprucing up and redoing bathrooms etc.

http://streeteasy.com/building/37-west-12-street-new_york/7j

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Response by ph41
over 10 years ago
Posts: 3390
Member since: Feb 2008

Not west village but definitely overreaching
http://streeteasy.com/building/stewart-house/3g

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Response by Flutistic
over 10 years ago
Posts: 516
Member since: Apr 2007

5 months on the market, has that been common around $4 mill in GV?

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Response by Admin2009
over 10 years ago
Posts: 380
Member since: Mar 2014

it's common . . . . if it's really worth $3 million

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Response by cbreeze
over 10 years ago
Posts: 39
Member since: Apr 2010

The J line is around 2200 sq ft according to a previously listed unit. Two J units on lower floors were asking $3.6M in 2010 sold for around $3.4M. It is a bit ambitious to ask over $4M but 5 months?
I was also looking at the 2BRs. Several sold for $2.8M last year or earlier this year pretty fast and there is one higher floor unit that just had a $300K reduction now at $2.6M.

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Response by fieldschester
over 10 years ago
Posts: 3525
Member since: Jul 2013
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Response by fieldschester
about 10 years ago
Posts: 3525
Member since: Jul 2013
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Response by fieldschester
about 10 years ago
Posts: 3525
Member since: Jul 2013

Is Greenwich Village still at its "plateau"?

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