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How many XI sales so far?

Started by 30yrs_RE_20_in_REO
about 7 years ago
Posts: 9877
Member since: Mar 2009
The sales office opened over 5 months ago, the listings finally hit Streeteasy a month ago, but nothing listed as "in contract" (despite current practice of developers listing units already in contract to show how well they are doing). Apparently there are two $70 million penthouses, each of which would set a downtown record if they sell; or will they get chopped like 160 Leroy? With 236 units at $2.8 million and up, what percentage of the West Chelsea ultra luxury can they possibly hope to capture and what does that mean the sellout period is going to be?
Response by 30yrs_RE_20_in_REO
over 6 years ago
Posts: 9877
Member since: Mar 2009

I just noticed that the listings in this building say "SALES LAUNCH DATE
Sep 2018" (which I don't think is correct based on the information provided above) rather than the usual "Days on Market." Are there other new construction buildings which have this same thing? As I have pointed out before, for a new construction building every unit is on the market the minute the offering plan is accepted, so I think I actually agree with this methodology.

Also, it looks like only 13 units have entered contract? Does anyone have any better information? Because I think 13 units in 10 months for a 236 unit building indicates a 15-year sellout pace.

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Response by 30yrs_RE_20_in_REO
over 6 years ago
Posts: 9877
Member since: Mar 2009
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Response by KeithBurkhardt
over 6 years ago
Posts: 2985
Member since: Aug 2008

I have noticed other new development buildings listed as 'launch date September'.

Keith

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Response by 300_mercer
over 6 years ago
Posts: 10567
Member since: Feb 2007

So, they overpaid for land relative to current prices (which may come down further as no one wants to starts a new development right now) by $300 per sq ft buildable. With carry for 4 years, by $400. For liquidity point of view, they do have the hotel which will help tremendously.

https://therealdeal.com/issues_articles/hfz-capital-ziel-feldman-the-xi/amp/

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Response by 300_mercer
over 6 years ago
Posts: 10567
Member since: Feb 2007

Btw, this development is a perfect example of over-priced new development (I am sure pricing has already been reduced 10-15 percent from developer’s initial estimates) which can come down another 20 percent and still will be around $3k per sq ft average.

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Response by itesfai
over 6 years ago
Posts: 77
Member since: Nov 2012

30, did i miss something? Where does it show 'units in contract'? Are you referring to the 13 'no longer available' units?

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Response by 30yrs_RE_20_in_REO
over 6 years ago
Posts: 9877
Member since: Mar 2009

Yes I am referring to the no longer available. They obviously aren't sold and closed. Or do you think those 13 are just taken off the market and not in contract?

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Response by itesfai
over 6 years ago
Posts: 77
Member since: Nov 2012

I believe those are taken off the market which happens quite often.

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Response by 30yrs_RE_20_in_REO
over 6 years ago
Posts: 9877
Member since: Mar 2009

So you think there are 0 in contract?

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Response by 300_mercer
over 6 years ago
Posts: 10567
Member since: Feb 2007

I do not think the sponsor wants to share that info.

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Response by truthskr10
over 6 years ago
Posts: 4088
Member since: Jul 2009

They should include 10 free helicopter taxis to JFK :)

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Response by urbandigs
over 6 years ago
Posts: 3629
Member since: Jan 2006
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Response by itesfai
over 6 years ago
Posts: 77
Member since: Nov 2012

I don't know how many but i see this a lot. Usually they relist at much later date or list an entirely different unit with similar size/$ which is what it looks like to me. to be fair 4th Quarter might not be best time to launch super lux product.

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Response by 30yrs_RE_20_in_REO
over 6 years ago
Posts: 9877
Member since: Mar 2009

But they launched April 24, 2018. Feldman has been quoted as saying his billion dollar lenders are patient, but if they have actually sold zero in almost a year on the market (which I don't believe because he has to have at least a couple of friends who are good for fake sales) the are not going to be patient forever. I think it's a big mistake not to sell at whatever the market can get you because I don't see the market for this product improving any time soon. Look at 520 West 28th St - how long it's been on the market and still have units left) as well as Hudson Yards, etc.

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Response by KeithBurkhardt
over 6 years ago
Posts: 2985
Member since: Aug 2008

I read an article on the building in which they quoted Leonard Steinberg, he said compass had two units in contract. Can't remember how old the article is.

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Response by 300_mercer
over 6 years ago
Posts: 10567
Member since: Feb 2007

30, How much of a price cut is needed in your opinion to move 520 West 28th units - say 3 lowest $ priced one - in 3 months?

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Response by 30yrs_RE_20_in_REO
over 6 years ago
Posts: 9877
Member since: Mar 2009

I would have to do more research than I feel like doing to give you a good answer to that, but as a rough guess if you got the ask on #12 down below $4 million to just over $2,300/SF you'd have a decent shot at it.

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Response by 300_mercer
over 6 years ago
Posts: 10567
Member since: Feb 2007
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Response by Rock28
over 6 years ago
Posts: 49
Member since: Apr 2011

Met someone from the sales team at XI. She had no comment on number of units in contract but there appear to be “a few”; I believe they are not posting units in contract on SE...a number of developers are doing this now.

What I am hearing is that they are also not willing to budge much on pricing and prefer to wait out the storm for now. My guess is they think the hotel will keep them afloat while the markets adjusts.

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Response by 300_mercer
over 6 years ago
Posts: 10567
Member since: Feb 2007

Rock, Thank you for the info. The same developer did offer discounts at Belnord late last year but now they are not offering the same discounts as they did in December.

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Response by 30yrs_RE_20_in_REO
over 6 years ago
Posts: 9877
Member since: Mar 2009

Another thank you for the update. I find it hard to believe that the hotel would be able to carry the entire project. I also think it's going to be a while before the market finds those prices palatable.

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Response by 30yrs_RE_20_in_REO
over 6 years ago
Posts: 9877
Member since: Mar 2009
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Response by 30yrs_RE_20_in_REO
about 6 years ago
Posts: 9877
Member since: Mar 2009

This unit has been on SE for over 3 months and only been saved by 8 users:
https://streeteasy.com/building/the-xi/8d

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Response by 30yrs_RE_20_in_REO
about 6 years ago
Posts: 9877
Member since: Mar 2009
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Response by 300_mercer
about 6 years ago
Posts: 10567
Member since: Feb 2007

Thank you. We are both a little optimistic by $100-150k. $3.8mm seems fair.

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Response by Anton
about 6 years ago
Posts: 507
Member since: May 2019

only 20% down, looks like they are doing extremely well

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Response by 30yrs_RE_20_in_REO
about 6 years ago
Posts: 9877
Member since: Mar 2009
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Response by stache
about 6 years ago
Posts: 1296
Member since: Jun 2017

This helps explain the prices.

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Response by 30yrs_RE_20_in_REO
over 5 years ago
Posts: 9877
Member since: Mar 2009

I guess they had originally expected to sell out by now. Something tells me they haven't.
https://therealdeal.com/2020/08/26/hfz-sued-for-not-vacating-xi-sales-gallery-and-stiffing-ny-times/

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Response by 30yrs_RE_20_in_REO
about 5 years ago
Posts: 9877
Member since: Mar 2009
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Response by inonada
about 5 years ago
Posts: 7951
Member since: Oct 2008

Always the pessimist, 30yrs. They are now effective!

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Response by RichardBerg
about 5 years ago
Posts: 325
Member since: Aug 2010

Somehow I doubt the hotel has been as helpful to their cash flow as they hoped.

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Response by 30yrs_RE_20_in_REO
about 5 years ago
Posts: 9877
Member since: Mar 2009

inonada,
Yes, so now those in contract face the prospect of being forced to close in a building which is still 84% owned by a Sponsor who is defaulting on projects. Great news.

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Response by village_guy
about 5 years ago
Posts: 1
Member since: Sep 2020

what are the implications of being forced to close and closing in a building which has sold so poorly? could your own investment go underwater?

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Response by Anton
about 5 years ago
Posts: 507
Member since: May 2019

If the city rent their hotel space to host the homeless, they will have enough cash flow to survive

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